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Bundesliga

Referee: Jochen Drees

Hamburg

S T S U S

0–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 9. · Schalke 04 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	7	0	0	+20	21
2	Dortmund	6	5	1	0	+15	16
3	Schalke 04	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Leverkusen	7	4	0	3	-1	12
6	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	-2	11
7	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Hertha	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Hamburg	6	3	1	2	-1	10
10	Mainz	7	3	0	4	+0	9
11	Darmstadt	6	2	3	1	-1	9
12	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	+4	8
13	Werder Bremen	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	M'gladbach	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Hoffenheim	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Augsburg	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Stuttgart	7	1	0	6	-8	3
18	Hannover	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Wolfsburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	FC Koln	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Schalke 04	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Darmstadt	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	M'gladbach	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Augsburg	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Werder Bremen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Hoffenheim	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Hannover	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Stuttgart	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Ingolstadt 04	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
6	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Mainz	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	M'gladbach	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Hannover	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.