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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Hamburg

U T T T U

2–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 9%

18%

Points per game

0,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

55%

100%

Both score Ø 64%

36%

91%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

2,6

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 18. · Werder Bremen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	12	9	3	0	+17	30
2	Bayern Munich	11	7	3	1	+17	24
3	Dortmund	11	6	3	2	+14	21
4	FC Koln	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Hoffenheim	11	5	6	0	+7	21
6	Hertha	11	6	3	2	+7	21
7	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	3	2	+7	21
8	Mainz	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Leverkusen	11	5	1	5	+0	16
10	Freiburg	12	5	0	7	-8	15
11	Schalke 04	11	4	2	5	+2	14
12	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	M'gladbach	11	3	3	5	-6	12
14	Wolfsburg	11	2	3	6	-5	9
15	Darmstadt	11	2	2	7	-11	8
16	Werder Bremen	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	1	2	8	-13	5
18	Hamburg	11	0	3	8	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+13	14
3	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	FC Koln	5	4	1	0	+9	13
5	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+6	13
6	Hoffenheim	6	3	3	0	+3	12
7	Freiburg	6	4	0	2	-1	12
8	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	2	0	+3	11
10	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+4	10
11	Leverkusen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+5	9
13	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Werder Bremen	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Wolfsburg	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Hamburg	5	0	1	4	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+4	10
4	Hoffenheim	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	FC Koln	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Dortmund	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Mainz	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Hertha	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Freiburg	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Hamburg	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	M'gladbach	5	0	1	4	-11	1
17	Werder Bremen	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	Darmstadt	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.