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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

Werder Bremen

U S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Dortmund

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

25%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

81%

56%

Both score Ø 79%

88%

69%

Average goals

3,4

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

2,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

5 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 15. · Dortmund 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	3	1	+30	42
2	RB Leipzig	16	11	3	2	+16	36
3	Hertha	16	9	3	4	+8	30
4	Ein Frankfurt	16	8	5	3	+10	29
5	Hoffenheim	16	6	10	0	+11	28
6	Dortmund	16	7	6	3	+16	27
7	FC Koln	16	6	7	3	+6	25
8	Freiburg	17	7	2	8	-7	23
9	Leverkusen	16	6	3	7	-1	21
10	Mainz	16	6	2	8	-4	20
11	Schalke 04	16	5	3	8	+1	18
12	Augsburg	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	Wolfsburg	16	4	4	8	-9	16
14	M'gladbach	16	4	4	8	-10	16
15	Werder Bremen	16	4	4	8	-14	16
16	Hamburg	16	3	4	9	-17	13
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	3	3	10	-13	12
18	Darmstadt	16	2	2	12	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	2	0	+22	23
2	Hertha	8	7	0	1	+11	21
3	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+9	19
4	Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+13	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Hoffenheim	9	4	5	0	+7	17
7	FC Koln	8	4	4	0	+9	16
8	M'gladbach	9	4	3	2	+5	15
9	Freiburg	8	5	0	3	-1	15
10	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+6	13
11	Mainz	7	4	1	2	+4	13
12	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Werder Bremen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	Darmstadt	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Hamburg	8	2	2	4	-9	8
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	Wolfsburg	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	RB Leipzig	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Hoffenheim	7	2	5	0	+4	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	+3	11
5	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
6	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-1	10
7	Dortmund	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	+0	9
9	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	FC Koln	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Freiburg	9	2	2	5	-6	8
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Mainz	9	2	1	6	-8	7
14	Werder Bremen	8	1	3	4	-12	6
15	Schalke 04	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Hamburg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
17	M'gladbach	7	0	1	6	-15	1
18	Darmstadt	8	0	0	8	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.