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Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Stark
Ein Frankfurt
U S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Dortmund
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
55%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 7. · Dortmund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 12 9 3 0 +17 30
2 Bayern Munich 11 7 3 1 +17 24
3 Dortmund 11 6 3 2 +14 21
4 FC Koln 11 6 3 2 +10 21
5 Hoffenheim 11 5 6 0 +7 21
6 Hertha 11 6 3 2 +7 21
7 Ein Frankfurt 11 6 3 2 +7 21
8 Mainz 11 5 2 4 +1 17
9 Leverkusen 11 5 1 5 +0 16
10 Freiburg 12 5 0 7 -8 15
11 Schalke 04 11 4 2 5 +2 14
12 Augsburg 11 3 3 5 -4 12
13 M'gladbach 11 3 3 5 -6 12
14 Wolfsburg 11 2 3 6 -5 9
15 Darmstadt 11 2 2 7 -11 8
16 Werder Bremen 11 2 1 8 -16 7
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 11 1 2 8 -13 5
18 Hamburg 11 0 3 8 -19 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
Marco Fabián 🟨
-3′
Michael Hector 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Huszti
T. Chandler
46′
58′
🔁 O. Dembélé
↦ A. Schürrle
58′
🔁 M. Reus
↦ A. Ramos
58′
🔁 S. Rode
↦ J. Weigl
65′
🟨 Sokratis
H. Seferović 🔁
↦ A. Meier
71′
74′
🟨 Gonzalo Castro
77′
P. Aubameyang 1–1
O. Dembélé
2–1 H. Seferović
S. Huszti
79′
A. Barkok 🔁
↦ S. Huszti
82′
Lukáš Hrádecký 🟨
90′
Mijat Gaćinović 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Marcel Schmelzer
B. Hrgota 🔁
↦ M. Fabián
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

5-3-2
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
22 T. Chandler M
15 M. Hector D
5 Jesús Vallejo D
8 S. Huszti M
20 M. Hasebe D
10 M. Fabián M
11 M. Gaćinović M
14 A. Meier F
Bench (7)
9 H. Seferović
28 A. Barkok
31 B. Hrgota
13 H. Lindner
17 A. Rebić
36 F. Zorba
38 E. Bunjaki

Coach: N. Kovač

Dortmund

4-3-3
1 R. Weidenfeller G
26 Ł. Piszczek D
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
29 M. Schmelzer D
28 M. Ginter D
27 G. Castro M
10 M. Götze M
21 A. Schürrle M
33 J. Weigl M
20 A. Ramos F
17 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (7)
7 O. Dembélé
11 M. Reus
18 S. Rode
5 Bartra
22 C. Pulisic
37 E. Durm
39 H. Bonmann

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wolfgang Stark · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
13,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.