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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Hamburg
U S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 24%
31%
17%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
45%
Both score Ø 43%
45%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 14. · Darmstadt 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 6 2 +56 69
2 RB Leipzig 29 19 4 6 +25 61
3 Hoffenheim 30 14 13 3 +25 55
4 Dortmund 29 15 8 6 +29 53
5 Hertha 29 13 4 12 +2 43
6 FC Koln 30 10 11 9 +6 41
7 Freiburg 29 12 5 12 -15 41
8 Werder Bremen 29 11 6 12 -3 39
9 M'gladbach 29 11 6 12 -4 39
10 Ein Frankfurt 29 10 8 11 -4 38
11 Schalke 04 29 10 7 12 +4 37
12 Leverkusen 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Wolfsburg 29 9 6 14 -12 33
14 Hamburg 29 9 6 14 -24 33
15 Mainz 29 9 5 15 -10 32
16 Augsburg 29 8 8 13 -18 32
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 29 8 4 17 -19 28
18 Darmstadt 29 5 3 21 -36 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Darmstadt
Filip Kostić 🟨
13′
Half-time 0–1
51′
A. Sulu 0–1
53′
F. Platte 0–2
J. Gondorf
Aaron Hunt 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Wilson Kamavuaka
B. Jatta 🔁
↦ D. Diekmeier
57′
63′
🔁 S. Schipplock
↦ F. Platte
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
70′
70′
🔁 J. Rosenthal
↦ W. Kamavuaka
75′
🟨 Patrick Banggaard
80′
🔁 S. Sam
↦ M. Vrančić
Mërgim Mavraj 🟨
81′
0–3 F. Holland
own goal
93′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
31 C. Mathenia G
13 M. Mavraj D
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
24 G. Sakai D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
14 A. Hunt M
8 L. Holtby M
17 F. Kostić M
7 B. Wood F
Bench (7)
18 B. Jatta
11 M. Gregoritsch
5 J. Djourou
12 Walace
15 L. Waldschmidt
22 M. Ostrzolek
36 T. Mickel

Coach: M. Gisdol

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
31 M. Esser G
32 F. Holland D
17 S. Sirigu D
4 A. Sulu D
36 W. Kamavuaka M
26 P. Banggaard D
6 M. Vrančić M
34 Hamit Altıntop M
20 M. Heller M
8 J. Gondorf M
19 F. Platte F
Bench (7)
39 S. Schipplock
10 J. Rosenthal
33 S. Sam
1 Daniel Heuer
13 M. Steinhöfer
16 A. Colak
21 I. Höhn

Coach: T. Frings

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.