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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Schalke 04
U S T S S
0–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 4. · Bayern Munich 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 +10 10
2 Hannover 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Schalke 04 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Hoffenheim 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 RB Leipzig 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Hertha 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Leverkusen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Wolfsburg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Mainz 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Freiburg 4 0 2 2 -7 2
17 Werder Bremen 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 FC Koln 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Bayern Munich
25′
R. Lewandowski 0–1
29′
J. Rodríguez 0–2
C. Tolisso
Half-time 0–2
Y. Konoplyanka 🔁
↦ A. Harit
46′
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ W. McKennie
57′
Breel Embolo 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 Thiago Alcântara
↦ R. Lewandowski
69′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ C. Tolisso
75′
A. Vidal 0–3
J. Rodríguez
77′
🔁 M. Hummels
↦ Javi Martínez
F. Di Santo 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
78′
87′
🟨 Thiago Alcántara
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
8 L. Goretzka M
10 N. Bentaleb M
25 A. Harit M
2 W. McKennie M
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Konoplyanka
36 B. Embolo
9 F. Di Santo
7 M. Meyer
17 B. Stambouli
23 Coke
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
13 Rafinha D
8 Javi Martínez M
4 N. Süle D
19 S. Rudy M
11 J. Rodríguez M
24 C. Tolisso M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
6 Thiago Alcântara
23 A. Vidal
5 M. Hummels
7 F. Ribéry
17 J. Boateng
34 M. Friedl
36 C. Früchtl

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.