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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Hoffenheim
T S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,5
Scored
1,7
3,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
6 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 7. · Bayern Munich 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Hannover 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 RB Leipzig 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Augsburg 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Wolfsburg 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Mainz 3 1 0 2 +0 3
13 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Freiburg 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Leverkusen 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Bayern Munich
1–0 M. Uth
A. Kramarić
27′
Benjamin Hübner 🟨
30′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Uth
S. Zuber
51′
57′
🔁 A. Robben
↦ S. Rudy
Steven Zuber 🟨
63′
E. Polanski 🔁
↦ D. Geiger
63′
Pavel Kadeřábek 🟨
65′
N. Schulz 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
69′
P. Ochs 🔁
↦ M. Uth
75′
78′
🔁 F. Ribéry
↦ Rafinha
78′
🔁 J. Rodríguez
↦ T. Müller
90′
🟨 Mats Hummels
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-1-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
4 E. Bičakčić D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
6 H. Nordtveit D
17 S. Zuber M
10 K. Demirbay M
18 N. Amiri M
32 D. Geiger M
27 A. Kramarić F
19 M. Uth F
Bench (7)
8 E. Polanski
16 N. Schulz
30 P. Ochs
7 L. Rupp
11 F. Grillitsch
31 F. Passlack
36 G. Kobel

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
13 Rafinha D
8 Javi Martínez M
5 M. Hummels D
19 S. Rudy M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
24 C. Tolisso M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
10 A. Robben
7 F. Ribéry
11 J. Rodríguez
4 N. Süle
26 S. Ulreich
34 M. Friedl
41 M. Pantović

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.