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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
M'gladbach
U S U T U
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 10. · Stuttgart 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 +10 10
2 Hannover 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Schalke 04 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Hoffenheim 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 RB Leipzig 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Stuttgart 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 M'gladbach 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Hertha 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Leverkusen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Wolfsburg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Mainz 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Freiburg 4 0 2 2 -7 2
17 Werder Bremen 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 FC Koln 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Stuttgart
Half-time 0–0
M. Cuisance 🔁
↦ C. Kramer
46′
1–0 Raffael
N. Elvedi
57′
62′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ T. Asano
F. Johnson 🔁
↦ P. Herrmann
70′
72′
🟨 Simon Terodde
2–0 Raffael
74′
75′
🔁 Ailton
↦ D. Aogo
78′
🔁 D. Burnic
↦ O. Mangala
R. Bobadilla 🔁
↦ Raffael
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-4-2
21 T. Sippel G
17 O. Wendt D
4 J. Vestergaard D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
7 P. Herrmann M
6 C. Kramer M
8 D. Zakaria M
11 Raffael F
13 L. Stindl F
10 T. Hazard M
Bench (7)
27 M. Cuisance
19 F. Johnson
26 R. Bobadilla
3 R. Oxford
20 J. Villalba
24 T. Jantschke
35 M. Nicolas

Coach: D. Hecking

Stuttgart

3-4-3
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
3 D. Aogo M
35 M. Kamiński D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
23 O. Mangala M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
9 S. Terodde F
14 A. Donis F
11 T. Asano F
Bench (7)
7 J. Brekalo
29 Ailton
24 D. Burnic
22 E. Ofori
26 A. Meyer
31 B. Özcan
39 N. Sessa

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.