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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
78%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
61%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Schalke 04 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 14 3 1 +31 45
2 RB Leipzig 18 13 3 2 +20 42
3 Ein Frankfurt 18 9 5 4 +8 32
4 Dortmund 18 8 7 3 +17 31
5 Hoffenheim 18 7 10 1 +12 31
6 Hertha 18 9 3 6 +5 30
7 FC Koln 18 7 8 3 +11 29
8 Freiburg 18 8 2 8 -6 26
9 Leverkusen 19 7 3 9 -1 24
10 Mainz 18 6 4 8 -4 22
11 Schalke 04 18 6 3 9 +1 21
12 Augsburg 18 5 6 7 -5 21
13 M'gladbach 18 5 5 8 -9 20
14 Wolfsburg 18 5 4 9 -9 19
15 Werder Bremen 18 4 4 10 -16 16
16 Hamburg 19 4 4 11 -19 16
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 18 4 3 11 -12 15
18 Darmstadt 18 2 3 13 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Schalke 04
1–0 R. Lewandowski
A. Vidal
9′
13′
Naldo 1–1
D. Caligiuri
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 M. Nastasić
↦ H. Badstuber
61′
🟨 Nabil Bentaleb
K. Coman 🔁
↦ A. Robben
72′
73′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ G. Burgstaller
Javi Martínez 🟨
76′
P. Lahm 🔁
↦ Rafinha
77′
D. Alaba 🔁
↦ Juan Bernat
77′
87′
🔁 T. Kehrer
↦ L. Goretzka
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
13 Rafinha D
5 M. Hummels D
10 A. Robben M
14 Xabi Alonso M
8 Javi Martínez M
23 A. Vidal M
11 Douglas Costa M
18 Juan Bernat D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
29 K. Coman
21 P. Lahm
27 D. Alaba
6 Thiago Alcântara
26 S. Ulreich
35 Renato Sanches
40 F. Benko

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Schalke 04

3-1-4-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
4 B. Höwedes D
24 H. Badstuber D
6 S. Kolašinac D
18 D. Caligiuri M
17 B. Stambouli D
8 L. Goretzka M
10 N. Bentaleb M
21 A. Schöpf M
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
31 M. Nastasić
13 E. Choupo-Moting
20 T. Kehrer
5 J. Geis
11 Y. Konoplyanka
33 D. Avdijaj
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.