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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Dortmund

U U S S S

1–1

Full-time

Augsburg

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 42%

48%

35%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

65%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

61%

52%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

10 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 2. · Augsburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	24	19	3	2	+37	60
2	Dortmund	23	11	7	5	+19	40
3	Schalke 04	24	11	7	6	+8	40
4	Ein Frankfurt	24	11	6	7	+5	39
5	Leverkusen	24	10	8	6	+11	38
6	RB Leipzig	24	11	5	8	+4	38
7	M'gladbach	24	10	4	10	-4	34
8	Hoffenheim	24	8	8	8	+0	32
9	Hannover	24	8	8	8	-2	32
10	Augsburg	23	8	7	8	+3	31
11	Hertha	24	7	10	7	+0	31
12	Stuttgart	24	9	3	12	-7	30
13	Freiburg	24	6	11	7	-13	29
14	Werder Bremen	24	6	8	10	-6	26
15	Wolfsburg	24	4	13	7	-4	25
16	Mainz	24	6	6	12	-13	24
17	Hamburg	24	4	5	15	-17	17
18	FC Koln	24	4	5	15	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	2	0	+25	32
2	Stuttgart	12	8	1	3	+5	25
3	RB Leipzig	12	7	3	2	+10	24
4	Hoffenheim	12	6	4	2	+7	22
5	Schalke 04	12	6	4	2	+6	22
6	Hannover	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Freiburg	12	5	6	1	+4	21
8	M'gladbach	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	Augsburg	12	5	4	3	+6	19
10	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+5	19
11	Dortmund	11	5	3	3	+11	18
12	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Mainz	12	5	2	5	-2	17
14	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Hertha	12	4	4	4	-1	16
16	Wolfsburg	12	2	7	3	-1	13
17	Hamburg	12	3	3	6	-4	12
18	FC Koln	12	2	3	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	1	2	+12	28
2	Dortmund	12	6	4	2	+8	22
3	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+2	21
4	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+6	19
5	Schalke 04	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Hertha	12	3	6	3	+1	15
7	M'gladbach	12	4	2	6	-6	14
8	RB Leipzig	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-3	12
10	Wolfsburg	12	2	6	4	-3	12
11	Hannover	12	2	5	5	-8	11
12	Werder Bremen	12	2	4	6	-6	10
13	Hoffenheim	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	FC Koln	12	2	2	8	-12	8
15	Freiburg	12	1	5	6	-17	8
16	Mainz	12	1	4	7	-11	7
17	Stuttgart	12	1	2	9	-12	5
18	Hamburg	12	1	2	9	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.