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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Mainz

T T S U U

0–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

48%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 16. · Schalke 04 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	20	3	2	+41	63
2	Schalke 04	25	12	7	6	+9	43
3	Dortmund	25	11	9	5	+19	42
4	Ein Frankfurt	25	12	6	7	+6	42
5	Leverkusen	25	11	8	6	+12	41
6	RB Leipzig	25	11	6	8	+4	39
7	Hoffenheim	25	9	8	8	+2	35
8	M'gladbach	25	10	5	10	-4	35
9	Stuttgart	25	10	3	12	-6	33
10	Augsburg	25	8	8	9	+1	32
11	Hannover	25	8	8	9	-3	32
12	Hertha	25	7	10	8	-1	31
13	Freiburg	25	6	11	8	-17	29
14	Werder Bremen	25	6	9	10	-6	27
15	Wolfsburg	25	4	13	8	-5	25
16	Mainz	25	6	7	12	-13	25
17	Hamburg	25	4	6	15	-17	18
18	FC Koln	25	4	5	16	-22	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	2	0	+25	32
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+10	25
3	Schalke 04	13	7	4	2	+7	25
4	Stuttgart	12	8	1	3	+5	25
5	Hoffenheim	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Hannover	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	M'gladbach	13	6	3	4	+2	21
9	Freiburg	13	5	6	2	+0	21
10	Dortmund	12	5	4	3	+11	19
11	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+5	19
12	Augsburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
13	Mainz	12	5	2	5	-2	17
14	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Hertha	12	4	4	4	-1	16
16	Wolfsburg	13	2	7	4	-2	13
17	Hamburg	13	3	4	6	-4	13
18	FC Koln	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+16	31
2	Dortmund	13	6	5	2	+8	23
3	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+7	22
4	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+2	21
5	Schalke 04	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Hertha	13	3	6	4	+0	15
7	M'gladbach	12	4	2	6	-6	14
8	RB Leipzig	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	-3	13
10	Hoffenheim	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Wolfsburg	12	2	6	4	-3	12
12	Werder Bremen	13	2	5	6	-6	11
13	Hannover	13	2	5	6	-9	11
14	Mainz	13	1	5	7	-11	8
15	Stuttgart	13	2	2	9	-11	8
16	FC Koln	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Freiburg	12	1	5	6	-17	8
18	Hamburg	12	1	2	9	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.