← Match Finder
Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Schalke 04
S U T
2–1
Full-time
Mainz
T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Schalke 04 Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
24 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Mainz 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 1 1 +6 7
5 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Hertha 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 FC Ingolstadt 04 4 2 1 1 -2 7
9 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +3 6
10 Darmstadt 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Leverkusen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Augsburg 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Hoffenheim 4 0 1 3 -4 1
16 Hannover 4 0 1 3 -6 1
17 Stuttgart 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 M'gladbach 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Mainz
24′
🟨 Pierre Bengtsson
1–0 J. Matip ⚽
J. Geis
37′
41′
🟨 Danny Latza
42′
⚽ Y. Malli 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 K. Huntelaar ⚽
61′
L. Sané 🔁
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
62′
66′
🔁 P. De Blasis
↦ C. Clemens
73′
🟨 Stefan Bell
82′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ D. Latza
Joël Matip 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ P. Bengtsson
S. Kolašinac 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
92′
K. Ayhan 🔁
↦ J. Geis
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
3 Júnior Caiçara D
32 J. Matip D
15 D. Aogo M
33 R. Neustädter D
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
25 K. Huntelaar F
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
19 L. Sané
6 S. Kolašinac
24 K. Ayhan
30 M. Gspurning
12 M. Höger
23 P. Højbjerg
27 S. Riether

Mainz

1 L. Karius G
7 P. Bengtsson D
26 N. Bungert D
18 D. Brosinski D
3 L. Balogun D
16 S. Bell D
14 J. Baumgartlinger M
6 D. Latza M
27 C. Clemens M
10 Y. Malli M
9 Y. Mutō F
Bench (7)
32 P. De Blasis
47 P. Klement
31 F. Niederlechner
23 G. Curci
24 G. Bussmann
45 S. Serdar
42 A. Hack

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.