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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Leverkusen
S S U T S
0–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
61%
48%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
61%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 7
15 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 4. · Schalke 04 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 3 2 +37 60
2 Dortmund 23 11 7 5 +19 40
3 Ein Frankfurt 24 11 6 7 +5 39
4 Leverkusen 23 10 8 5 +13 38
5 RB Leipzig 23 11 5 7 +5 38
6 Schalke 04 23 10 7 6 +6 37
7 M'gladbach 24 10 4 10 -4 34
8 Hoffenheim 24 8 8 8 +0 32
9 Hannover 24 8 8 8 -2 32
10 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 +3 31
11 Hertha 24 7 10 7 +0 31
12 Stuttgart 24 9 3 12 -7 30
13 Freiburg 24 6 11 7 -13 29
14 Werder Bremen 24 6 8 10 -6 26
15 Wolfsburg 24 4 13 7 -4 25
16 Mainz 24 6 6 12 -13 24
17 Hamburg 24 4 5 15 -17 17
18 FC Koln 23 3 5 15 -22 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Schalke 04
11′
G. Burgstaller 0–1
D. Caligiuri
Dominik Kohr 🟨
32′
Dominik Kohr 🟨
38′
Dominik Kohr 🟥
38′
42′
🟨 Guido Burgstaller
45′
🟨 Max Meyer
Half-time 0–1
49′
🔁 B. Stambouli
↦ M. Meyer
49′
🔁 A. Harit
↦ G. Burgstaller
56′
🟨 Breel Embolo
L. Alario 🔁
↦ K. Volland
62′
66′
🔁 N. Bentaleb
↦ L. Goretzka
71′
🟨 Amine Harit
S. Kießling 🔁
↦ T. Jedvaj
71′
K. Bellarabi 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
71′
Panagiotis Retsos 🟨
87′
89′
N. Bentaleb 0–2
Lucas Alario 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-3-3
1 B. Leno G
5 S. Bender D
18 Wendell D
16 T. Jedvaj D
3 P. Retsos D
20 C. Aránguiz M
21 D. Kohr M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
10 J. Brandt M
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (7)
13 L. Alario
11 S. Kießling
38 K. Bellarabi
15 J. Baumgartlinger
28 R. Özcan
37 M. Frey
39 B. Henrichs

Coach: H. Herrlich

Schalke 04

3-4-1-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
19 G. Burgstaller F
9 F. Di Santo F
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (7)
17 B. Stambouli
25 A. Harit
10 N. Bentaleb
11 Y. Konoplyanka
22 M. Pjaca
28 A. Schöpf
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.