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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Schalke 04
S U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
45%
15%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
40%
35%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 4. · Werder Bremen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 16 2 2 +33 50
2 Dortmund 21 9 7 5 +16 34
3 Leverkusen 20 9 7 4 +14 34
4 Schalke 04 20 9 7 4 +7 34
5 Ein Frankfurt 20 9 6 5 +6 33
6 RB Leipzig 20 9 5 6 +3 32
7 M'gladbach 20 9 4 7 -2 31
8 Augsburg 20 7 7 6 +3 28
9 Hoffenheim 20 7 6 7 -1 27
10 Hannover 20 7 6 7 -2 27
11 Hertha 20 6 8 6 +0 26
12 Freiburg 20 5 9 6 -13 24
13 Wolfsburg 20 4 11 5 -1 23
14 Stuttgart 20 6 2 12 -10 20
15 Mainz 20 5 5 10 -11 20
16 Werder Bremen 20 3 8 9 -9 17
17 Hamburg 20 4 4 12 -13 16
18 FC Koln 21 3 4 14 -20 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Werder Bremen
Matija Nastasić 🟨
22′
1–0 Y. Konoplyanka
N. Bentaleb
24′
28′
🟨 Niklas Moisander
Half-time 1–0
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ N. Bentaleb
46′
56′
🔁 A. Jóhannsson
↦ M. Rashica
G. Burgstaller 🔁
↦ F. Di Santo
65′
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
70′
70′
🔁 Z. Junuzović
↦ J. Gondorf
Matija Nastasić 🟨
78′
Matija Nastasić 🟥
78′
79′
M. Kruse 1–1
Thilo Kehrer 🟨
85′
93′
Z. Junuzović 1–2
M. Eggestein
94′
🔁 S. Langkamp
↦ I. Belfodil
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-3
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
7 M. Meyer M
10 N. Bentaleb M
25 A. Harit M
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
8 L. Goretzka
19 G. Burgstaller
22 M. Pjaca
17 B. Stambouli
23 C. Teuchert
35 A. Nübel
36 B. Embolo

Coach: D. Tedesco

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
13 M. Veljkovic D
6 T. Delaney M
8 J. Gondorf M
11 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
29 I. Belfodil F
Bench (7)
9 A. Jóhannsson
16 Z. Junuzović
15 S. Langkamp
4 R. Bauer
7 F. Kainz
32 M. Friedl
33 J. Drobný

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.