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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Hertha
U S T U T
0–0
Full-time
Freiburg
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
28%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
32%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 12. · Freiburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 25 20 3 2 +41 63
2 Schalke 04 26 13 7 6 +10 46
3 Dortmund 25 11 9 5 +19 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 +6 42
5 Leverkusen 25 11 8 6 +12 41
6 RB Leipzig 25 11 6 8 +4 39
7 Hoffenheim 25 9 8 8 +2 35
8 M'gladbach 25 10 5 10 -4 35
9 Stuttgart 25 10 3 12 -6 33
10 Augsburg 25 8 8 9 +1 32
11 Hannover 25 8 8 9 -3 32
12 Hertha 25 7 10 8 -1 31
13 Freiburg 25 6 11 8 -17 29
14 Werder Bremen 25 6 9 10 -6 27
15 Wolfsburg 25 4 13 8 -5 25
16 Mainz 26 6 7 13 -14 25
17 Hamburg 25 4 6 15 -17 18
18 FC Koln 25 4 5 16 -22 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Freiburg
29′
🔁 N. Höfler
↦ A. Abrashi
Half-time 0–0
O. Duda 🔁
↦ S. Kalou
59′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
59′
Arne Maier 🟨
60′
V. Darida 🔁
↦ A. Maier
66′
68′
🔁 F. Kath
↦ L. Höler
90′
🔁 M. Kempf
↦ T. Kleindienst
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
8 S. Kalou M
28 F. Lustenberger M
23 M. Weiser D
20 V. Lazaro M
26 A. Maier M
19 V. Ibišević F
Bench (7)
10 O. Duda
27 D. Selke
6 V. Darida
1 T. Kraft
3 P. Skjelbred
11 M. Leckie
17 M. Mittelstädt

Coach: P. Dárdai

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
5 M. Gulde D
17 L. Kübler D
30 C. Günter D
25 R. Koch M
4 C. Söyüncü D
6 A. Abrashi M
19 J. Haberer M
18 N. Petersen F
34 T. Kleindienst F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (7)
27 N. Höfler
38 F. Kath
20 M. Kempf
3 P. Lienhart
13 M. Terrazzino
15 P. Stenzel
44 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.