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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Chelsea
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Premier League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
55%
21%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
27 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chelsea 5. · Crystal Palace 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 29 25 3 1 +63 78
2 Man United 30 20 5 5 +35 65
3 Liverpool 30 17 9 4 +34 60
4 Tottenham 29 17 7 5 +31 58
5 Chelsea 29 16 5 8 +24 53
6 Arsenal 29 13 6 10 +11 45
7 Burnley 30 11 10 9 +1 43
8 Leicester 30 10 10 10 +2 40
9 Everton 30 10 7 13 -14 37
10 Watford 29 10 6 13 -8 36
11 Brighton 30 8 10 12 -12 34
12 Bournemouth 29 8 9 12 -10 33
13 Newcastle 30 8 8 14 -10 32
14 Swansea 30 8 7 15 -17 31
15 Huddersfield 30 8 7 15 -25 31
16 West Ham 30 7 9 14 -21 30
17 Southampton 30 5 13 12 -15 28
18 Crystal Palace 29 6 9 14 -19 27
19 Stoke 29 6 9 14 -26 27
20 West Brom 30 3 11 16 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chelsea Crystal Palace
1–0 Willian
N. Kanté
25′
1–1 M. Kelly
own goal
32′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 W. Zaha
↦ C. Benteke
59′
🟨 Patrick van Aanholt
Álvaro Morata 🔁
↦ O. Giroud
72′
75′
🔁 J. Riedewald
↦ J. Schlupp
81′
🔁 Lee Chung-Yong
↦ A. Townsend
Álvaro Morata 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 James Tomkins
Pedro 🔁
↦ Fàbregas
88′
T. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ E. Hazard
88′
90′
P. van Aanholt 1–2
W. Zaha
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
13 T. Courtois G
24 G. Cahill D
28 Azpilicueta D
3 Marcos Alonso M
21 D. Zappacosta M
27 A. Christensen D
4 Fàbregas M
22 Willian F
10 E. Hazard F
7 N. Kanté M
18 O. Giroud F
Bench (7)
9 Álvaro Morata
11 Pedro
14 T. Bakayoko
1 W. Caballero
15 V. Moses
33 Emerson
44 E. Ampadu

Coach: A. Conte

Crystal Palace

4-4-2
13 W. Hennessey G
5 J. Tomkins D
34 M. Kelly D
3 P. van Aanholt D
15 J. Schlupp M
18 J. McArthur M
10 A. Townsend M
4 L. Milivojević M
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
17 C. Benteke F
9 A. Sørloth F
Bench (7)
11 W. Zaha
44 J. Riedewald
14 Lee Chung-Yong
12 M. Sakho
16 Diego Cavalieri
23 P. Souaré
24 T. Fosu-Mensah

Coach: R. Hodgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.