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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Hartmann

Leverkusen

U T S T S

2–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 42%

44%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

60%

48%

Both score Ø 58%

64%

52%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 5. · M'gladbach 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	26	21	3	2	+47	66
2	Schalke 04	26	13	7	6	+10	46
3	Dortmund	25	11	9	5	+19	42
4	Ein Frankfurt	25	12	6	7	+6	42
5	Leverkusen	25	11	8	6	+12	41
6	RB Leipzig	25	11	6	8	+4	39
7	Hoffenheim	26	10	8	8	+5	38
8	Augsburg	26	9	8	9	+3	35
9	M'gladbach	25	10	5	10	-4	35
10	Stuttgart	25	10	3	12	-6	33
11	Hertha	26	7	11	8	-1	32
12	Hannover	26	8	8	10	-5	32
13	Freiburg	26	6	12	8	-17	30
14	Werder Bremen	25	6	9	10	-6	27
15	Wolfsburg	26	4	13	9	-8	25
16	Mainz	26	6	7	13	-14	25
17	Hamburg	26	4	6	16	-23	18
18	FC Koln	25	4	5	16	-22	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	11	2	0	+31	35
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+10	25
3	Hoffenheim	13	7	4	2	+10	25
4	Schalke 04	13	7	4	2	+7	25
5	Stuttgart	12	8	1	3	+5	25
6	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	M'gladbach	13	6	3	4	+2	21
9	Freiburg	13	5	6	2	+0	21
10	Dortmund	12	5	4	3	+11	19
11	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+5	19
12	Augsburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
13	Hertha	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-3	17
15	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	+0	16
16	Wolfsburg	13	2	7	4	-2	13
17	Hamburg	13	3	4	6	-4	13
18	FC Koln	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+16	31
2	Dortmund	13	6	5	2	+8	23
3	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+7	22
4	Schalke 04	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-1	16
7	Hertha	13	3	6	4	+0	15
8	M'gladbach	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	RB Leipzig	12	4	2	6	-6	14
10	Hoffenheim	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Wolfsburg	13	2	6	5	-6	12
12	Werder Bremen	13	2	5	6	-6	11
13	Hannover	13	2	5	6	-9	11
14	Freiburg	13	1	6	6	-17	9
15	Mainz	13	1	5	7	-11	8
16	Stuttgart	13	2	2	9	-11	8
17	FC Koln	12	2	2	8	-12	8
18	Hamburg	13	1	2	10	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.