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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Hannover
U T T T T
3–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 18. · Stuttgart 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 +14 14
2 Werder Bremen 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Bayern Munich 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Hertha 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 M'gladbach 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 RB Leipzig 6 3 2 1 +1 11
7 Wolfsburg 7 2 3 2 -1 9
8 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Nurnberg 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 1 3 +0 7
13 Freiburg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Leverkusen 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 Stuttgart 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Schalke 04 6 1 0 5 -6 3
18 Hannover 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Stuttgart
G. Haraguchi 🔁
↦ T. Asano
14′
Miiko Albornoz 🟨
19′
1–0 B. Wood
M. Albornoz
30′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 B. Wood
M. Albornoz
46′
46′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ H. Badstuber
46′
🔁 N. González
↦ G. Castro
50′
M. Gómez 2–1
E. Thommy
M. Bakalorz 🔁
↦ B. Wood
76′
82′
🟨 Borna Sosa
84′
🔁 H. Sarpei
↦ C. Gentner
85′
🟨 Erik Thommy
I. Fossum 🔁
↦ P. Schwegler
87′
3–1 I. Bebou
G. Haraguchi
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-3
23 M. Esser G
5 Felipe D
3 M. Albornoz D
2 J. Elez D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
11 T. Asano F
8 Walace M
17 B. Wood F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
10 G. Haraguchi
6 M. Bakalorz
18 I. Fossum
1 P. Tschauner
26 H. Weydandt
28 K. Wimmer
35 F. Muslija

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Stuttgart

5-3-2
1 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
28 H. Badstuber D
5 T. Baumgartl D
24 B. Sosa D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
10 D. Didavi M
8 G. Castro M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
17 E. Thommy
22 N. González
36 H. Sarpei
2 E. Insúa
7 Pablo Maffeo
13 J. Grahl
19 C. Akolo

Coach: T. Korkut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.