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Bundesliga
Referee: Markus Schmidt
Schalke 04
T S S T U
3–1
Full-time
Hannover
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
22%
11%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
22%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
22%
78%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 15. · Hannover 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 9 6 3 0 +19 21
2 Bayern Munich 9 6 1 2 +7 19
3 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 +10 17
4 M'gladbach 9 5 2 2 +8 17
5 Werder Bremen 9 5 2 2 +3 17
6 RB Leipzig 9 4 4 1 +7 16
7 Hertha 9 4 4 1 +5 16
8 Hoffenheim 9 4 1 4 +5 13
9 Augsburg 9 3 3 3 +2 12
10 Wolfsburg 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Freiburg 9 3 3 3 -2 12
12 Leverkusen 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Mainz 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Nurnberg 9 2 3 4 -11 9
15 Schalke 04 9 2 1 6 -6 7
16 Hannover 9 1 3 5 -7 6
17 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 1 2 6 -15 5
18 Stuttgart 10 1 2 7 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Hannover
Matija Nastasić 🟨
35′
37′
🔁 K. Wimmer
↦ Felipe
45′
🟨 Kevin Wimmer
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Bentaleb
57′
G. Burgstaller 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
58′
65′
🔁 H. Weydandt
↦ K. Wimmer
67′
🟨 Ihlas Bebou
70′
H. Weydandt 1–1
I. Bebou
2–1 B. Embolo
71′
S. Rudy 🔁
↦ N. Bentaleb
72′
73′
🔁 F. Muslija
↦ I. Fossum
79′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
Sebastian Rudy 🟨
81′
3–1 M. Uth
A. Harit
85′
W. McKennie 🔁
↦ A. Harit
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-5-2
35 A. Nübel G
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
18 D. Caligiuri M
10 N. Bentaleb M
28 A. Schöpf M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
7 M. Uth F
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (7)
19 G. Burgstaller
13 S. Rudy
2 W. McKennie
11 Y. Konoplyanka
22 S. Skrzybski
29 Naldo
34 M. Langer

Coach: D. Tedesco

Hannover

4-3-3
1 P. Tschauner G
5 Felipe D
3 M. Albornoz D
4 J. Korb M
2 J. Elez D
31 W. Anton D
10 G. Haraguchi M
18 I. Fossum M
8 Walace M
17 B. Wood F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
28 K. Wimmer
26 H. Weydandt
35 F. Muslija
6 M. Bakalorz
22 M. Ostrzolek
30 L. Weinkauf
37 N. Sarenren-Bazee

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Markus Schmidt · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.