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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Real Madrid

U S S

1–0

Full-time

Granada

T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

3,7

1,3

Conceded

0,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+3,7

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

3,7

1,3

Conceded

0,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+3,7

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

10 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Granada 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+11	7
3	Celta	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Betis	3	1	1	1	-4	4
10	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Granada	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Getafe	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Espanol	3	1	0	2	-7	3
14	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Sociedad	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Sp Gijon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-3	2
20	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-5	3
11	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Granada	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+6	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Betis	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.