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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Las Palmas
T U T S U
0–2
Full-time
La Coruna
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
8 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 19. · La Coruna 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 11 0 2 +21 33
2 Ath Madrid 13 9 2 2 +12 29
3 Real Madrid 12 7 3 2 +15 24
4 Villarreal 12 6 3 3 +4 21
5 Celta 12 6 3 3 +2 21
6 Eibar 12 5 5 2 +5 20
7 Valencia 12 5 4 3 +8 19
8 La Coruna 12 4 6 2 +5 18
9 Betis 13 5 3 5 -5 18
10 Ath Bilbao 12 5 2 5 +2 17
11 Espanol 13 5 1 7 -10 16
12 Sevilla 12 4 3 5 -1 15
13 Vallecano 12 4 2 6 -6 14
14 Sociedad 13 3 3 7 -4 12
15 Sp Gijon 12 3 3 6 -7 12
16 Granada 13 2 5 6 -7 11
17 Getafe 12 3 2 7 -7 11
18 Malaga 13 2 4 7 -6 10
19 Las Palmas 12 2 4 6 -7 10
20 Levante 13 2 4 7 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas La Coruna
David Simón 🟨
16′
19′
David Simón 1–0
own goal
26′
🟨 Pedro Mosquera
Sergio Araujo 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 F. Fajr
↦ Jonathan Rodríguez
Aythami Artiles 🟨
66′
67′
🟨 Alejandro Arribas
Nauzet Alemán 🔁
↦ Momo
69′
69′
🔁 J. Gutiérrez
↦ Cani
79′
🟨 Juanfran
W. Mubarak 🔁
↦ Dani Castellano
81′
81′
🔁 Laure
↦ J. Gutiérrez
E. Culio 🔁
↦ Roque Mesa
87′
Emmanuel Culio 🟨
90′
91′
Lucas Pérez 1–1
F. Fajr
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
16 Aythami Artiles
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Pedro Bigas D
2 David Simón D
11 Momo M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
20 Jonathan Viera M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
7 Nauzet Alemán
12 W. Mubarak
19 E. Culio
1 Raúl Lizoáin
5 David García
9 Asdrúbal
21 Valerón

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
6 Cani M
4 Álex Bergantiños M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
11 Juanfran D
7 Lucas Pérez F
20 Jonathan Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
19 F. Fajr
24 J. Gutiérrez
15 Laure
9 Oriol Riera
13 Fabri
17 F. Cartabia
23 Lopo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.