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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Ath Madrid
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Levante
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
71%
12%
Points per game
2,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
24%
53%
Both score Ø 35%
29%
41%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 12 3 2 +25 39
2 Ath Madrid 17 12 2 3 +16 38
3 Real Madrid 17 11 3 3 +29 36
4 Villarreal 17 10 3 4 +7 33
5 Celta 17 9 4 4 +5 31
6 La Coruna 17 6 9 2 +9 27
7 Ath Bilbao 17 8 3 6 +7 27
8 Sevilla 17 7 5 5 +4 26
9 Eibar 17 6 6 5 +2 24
10 Valencia 17 5 7 5 +6 22
11 Espanol 18 6 3 9 -12 21
12 Malaga 17 5 5 7 -3 20
13 Betis 17 5 5 7 -10 20
14 Getafe 17 4 5 8 -8 17
15 Sociedad 17 4 4 9 -7 16
16 Las Palmas 17 4 4 9 -8 16
17 Sp Gijon 16 4 3 9 -10 15
18 Granada 17 3 5 9 -13 14
19 Vallecano 17 4 2 11 -21 14
20 Levante 17 2 5 10 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Levante
Half-time 0–0
L. Vietto 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
56′
61′
🟨 Rubén García
61′
🟨 Jordi Xumetra
Y. Ferreira Carrasco 🔁
↦ Koke
62′
65′
🔁 Víctor Camarasa
↦ José Mari
T. Partey 🔁
↦ J. Martínez
73′
75′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ Xumetra
1–0 T. Partey
Gabi
81′
83′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Víctor Camarasa
90′
🟨 Verza
90′
🟨 Zouhair Feddal
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
15 S. Savić D
14 Gabi M
17 Saúl M
6 Koke M
11 J. Martínez F
7 A. Griezmann F
16 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
23 L. Vietto
21 Y. Ferreira Carrasco
22 T. Partey
1 Moyá
9 Fernando Torres
18 Jesús Gámez
24 J. Giménez

Levante

25 Diego Mariño G
3 Toño M
16 Ángel Trujillo D
24 Z. Feddal D
2 Iván López D
17 Xumetra M
7 Verza M
22 José Mari M
11 José Luis Morales M
8 J. Lerma M
23 N. Ghilas F
Bench (7)
6 Víctor Camarasa
10 Rubén García
14 Roger Martí
13 Rubén
15 N. Karabelas
32 Traver
37 Dani Calvo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.