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La Liga

Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido

Malaga

U U S S S

2–0

Full-time

Celta

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

29%

53%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

24%

59%

Both score Ø 42%

18%

65%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Malaga 12. · Celta 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+17	41
2	Barcelona	17	12	3	2	+25	39
3	Real Madrid	17	11	3	3	+29	36
4	Villarreal	17	10	3	4	+7	33
5	Celta	17	9	4	4	+5	31
6	La Coruna	17	6	9	2	+9	27
7	Ath Bilbao	17	8	3	6	+7	27
8	Sevilla	17	7	5	5	+4	26
9	Eibar	17	6	6	5	+2	24
10	Valencia	17	5	7	5	+6	22
11	Espanol	18	6	3	9	-12	21
12	Malaga	17	5	5	7	-3	20
13	Betis	17	5	5	7	-10	20
14	Getafe	17	4	5	8	-8	17
15	Sociedad	17	4	4	9	-7	16
16	Las Palmas	17	4	4	9	-8	16
17	Sp Gijon	16	4	3	9	-10	15
18	Granada	17	3	5	9	-13	14
19	Vallecano	17	4	2	11	-21	14
20	Levante	18	2	5	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+20	22
3	Villarreal	9	7	1	1	+8	22
4	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
5	Sevilla	9	7	0	2	+9	21
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Getafe	9	4	3	2	+7	15
8	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
10	Valencia	8	3	5	0	+7	14
11	Las Palmas	9	4	2	3	+3	14
12	Celta	9	4	2	3	+1	14
13	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+6	13
14	Malaga	8	3	3	2	+3	12
15	Vallecano	9	3	1	5	-5	10
16	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Betis	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Granada	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Celta	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+9	14
4	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	La Coruna	9	3	5	1	+3	14
6	Betis	9	4	2	3	-5	14
7	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Villarreal	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Eibar	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Granada	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-1	8
12	Sociedad	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Sp Gijon	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Espanol	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Sevilla	8	0	5	3	-5	5
17	Levante	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
19	Las Palmas	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Getafe	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.