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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Malaga
S S T U U
1–2
Full-time
Valencia
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
31%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
31%
42%
Both score Ø 43%
35%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 11. · Valencia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 21 3 2 +48 66
2 Ath Madrid 27 19 4 4 +28 61
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 +46 54
4 Villarreal 26 15 7 4 +15 52
5 Sevilla 26 11 8 7 +9 41
6 Celta 26 12 5 9 -5 41
7 Ath Bilbao 26 11 5 10 +3 38
8 Eibar 26 10 6 10 +5 36
9 Sociedad 27 9 7 11 -2 34
10 La Coruna 26 6 14 6 +1 32
11 Malaga 26 8 8 10 +0 32
12 Valencia 26 7 10 9 +1 31
13 Betis 26 6 10 10 -15 28
14 Espanol 26 8 4 14 -24 28
15 Las Palmas 27 7 6 14 -11 27
16 Vallecano 26 6 8 12 -17 26
17 Getafe 27 7 5 15 -18 26
18 Sp Gijon 26 6 6 14 -16 24
19 Granada 26 6 5 15 -24 23
20 Levante 26 5 5 16 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -15 Valencia – Malaga 3–0

Match report

Malaga Valencia
Duda 🟨
-5′
1–0 D. Čop
14′
19′
🟨 Shkodran Mustafi
Ricardo Horta 🔁
↦ D. Čop
23′
30′
🟨 José Luis Gayà
Juanpi Añor 🟨
32′
35′
🟨 Denis Cheryshev
41′
C. Kameni 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–1
49′
D. Cheryshev 2–1
André Gomes
R. Santa Cruz 🔁
↦ J. Añor
58′
Raúl Albentosa 🟨
62′
Miguel Torres 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Sofiane Feghouli
65′
🔁 Rodrigo
↦ S. Feghouli
Recio 🟨
66′
C. Atsu 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
75′
Charles Días 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 P. Piatti
↦ D. Cheryshev
90′
🟨 Pablo Piatti
92′
🔁 Rúben Vezo
↦ Paco Alcácer
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Malaga

1 C. Kameni
23 Miguel Torres D
18 R. Rosales D
21 E. Filipenko D
2 Albentosa D
6 Ignacio Camacho M
14 Recio M
28 J. Añor M
5 G. Castro M
20 D. Čop F
9 Charles F
Bench (7)
10 Ricardo Horta
24 R. Santa Cruz
11 C. Atsu
13 G. Ochoa
15 F. Ricca
17 Duda
31 Pablo Fornals

Valencia

1 Diego Alves G
19 Barragán M
5 S. Mustafi D
4 Aderllan Santos D
14 José Gayá D
18 Javi Fuego M
8 S. Feghouli M
10 Dani Parejo M
24 D. Cheryshev M
21 André Gomes M
9 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (7)
17 Rodrigo
11 P. Piatti
3 Rúben Vezo
6 Guilherme Siqueira
7 Negredo
12 Danilo Barbosa
25 M. Ryan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.