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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Bilbao

S U T T S

4–1

Full-time

La Coruna

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao La Coruna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

42%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

58%

38%

Both score Ø 52%

42%

62%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · La Coruna 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	21	3	2	+48	66
2	Ath Madrid	27	19	4	4	+28	61
3	Real Madrid	26	16	6	4	+46	54
4	Villarreal	26	15	7	4	+15	52
5	Sevilla	26	11	8	7	+9	41
6	Celta	26	12	5	9	-5	41
7	Ath Bilbao	26	11	5	10	+3	38
8	Eibar	26	10	6	10	+5	36
9	Sociedad	27	9	7	11	-2	34
10	La Coruna	26	6	14	6	+1	32
11	Malaga	26	8	8	10	+0	32
12	Valencia	26	7	10	9	+1	31
13	Betis	26	6	10	10	-15	28
14	Espanol	26	8	4	14	-24	28
15	Las Palmas	27	7	6	14	-11	27
16	Vallecano	26	6	8	12	-17	26
17	Getafe	27	7	5	15	-18	26
18	Sp Gijon	26	6	6	14	-16	24
19	Granada	26	6	5	15	-24	23
20	Levante	26	5	5	16	-24	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	13	1	0	+38	40
2	Villarreal	14	11	2	1	+15	35
3	Real Madrid	14	11	1	2	+36	34
4	Sevilla	13	11	0	2	+16	33
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
6	Eibar	14	7	3	4	+8	24
7	Ath Bilbao	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+7	21
9	Las Palmas	14	6	3	5	+4	21
10	Celta	13	6	3	4	+1	21
11	Malaga	12	5	4	3	+7	19
12	Valencia	13	4	7	2	+4	19
13	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
14	Espanol	12	5	4	3	-6	19
15	Vallecano	13	5	3	5	+0	18
16	La Coruna	13	3	7	3	+4	16
17	Levante	13	4	3	6	-4	15
18	Sp Gijon	13	3	4	6	-3	13
19	Betis	13	2	6	5	-8	12
20	Granada	12	3	2	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	1	3	+16	31
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+10	26
3	Real Madrid	12	5	5	2	+10	20
4	Celta	13	6	2	5	-6	20
5	Villarreal	12	4	5	3	+0	17
6	Ath Bilbao	14	5	2	7	-7	17
7	La Coruna	13	3	7	3	-3	16
8	Betis	13	4	4	5	-7	16
9	Sociedad	14	4	3	7	-5	15
10	Malaga	14	3	4	7	-7	13
11	Eibar	12	3	3	6	-3	12
12	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-3	12
13	Granada	14	3	3	8	-15	12
14	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
15	Espanol	14	3	0	11	-18	9
16	Sevilla	13	0	8	5	-7	8
17	Vallecano	13	1	5	7	-17	8
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-15	6
19	Levante	13	1	2	10	-20	5
20	Getafe	13	1	2	10	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.