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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Sp Gijon

T T S U T

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

67%

22%

Both score Ø 34%

56%

11%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 17. · Malaga 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+20	24
2	Barcelona	10	8	0	2	+10	24
3	Celta	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Ath Madrid	10	6	2	2	+9	20
5	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Eibar	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Valencia	10	4	3	3	+4	15
8	La Coruna	10	3	5	2	+3	14
9	Espanol	10	4	1	5	-10	13
10	Sevilla	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Betis	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	+1	11
13	Getafe	10	3	1	6	-5	10
14	Vallecano	10	3	1	6	-7	10
15	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	+0	9
16	Malaga	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Sp Gijon	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Granada	10	1	4	5	-8	7
19	Las Palmas	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Levante	10	1	3	6	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Villarreal	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+5	9
8	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+3	9
9	Celta	5	2	2	1	+4	8
10	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Espanol	5	2	1	2	-5	7
14	La Coruna	5	1	3	1	+2	6
15	Las Palmas	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Levante	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Betis	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Sp Gijon	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Sociedad	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Granada	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Barcelona	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	La Coruna	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Betis	5	2	2	1	-2	8
9	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+4	7
10	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Espanol	5	2	0	3	-5	6
12	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Vallecano	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Ath Bilbao	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Las Palmas	5	0	1	4	-8	1
19	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Levante	5	0	1	4	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.