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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Sp Gijon

U T U T T

0–2

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

56%

59%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

5 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 0

8 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Gijon 19. · Ath Bilbao 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	28	23	3	2	+56	72
2	Ath Madrid	27	19	4	4	+28	61
3	Real Madrid	28	18	6	4	+54	60
4	Villarreal	28	15	8	5	+14	53
5	Sevilla	28	12	9	7	+10	45
6	Celta	28	12	6	10	-11	42
7	Ath Bilbao	27	12	5	10	+6	41
8	Eibar	28	10	6	12	+0	36
9	Valencia	27	8	10	9	+2	34
10	Sociedad	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Betis	28	8	10	10	-10	34
12	Malaga	28	8	9	11	-1	33
13	La Coruna	28	6	15	7	-2	33
14	Las Palmas	28	8	6	14	-10	30
15	Espanol	27	8	4	15	-27	28
16	Getafe	28	7	6	15	-18	27
17	Vallecano	27	6	8	13	-21	26
18	Granada	28	7	5	16	-24	26
19	Sp Gijon	27	6	6	15	-18	24
20	Levante	27	5	5	17	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	13	1	0	+38	40
2	Real Madrid	15	12	1	2	+42	37
3	Sevilla	14	12	0	2	+17	36
4	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	+14	35
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
6	Ath Bilbao	13	7	3	3	+13	24
7	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+4	24
8	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+7	22
9	Celta	14	6	4	4	+1	22
10	Las Palmas	14	6	3	5	+4	21
11	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+6	19
12	Valencia	13	4	7	2	+4	19
13	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
14	Espanol	13	5	4	4	-9	19
15	Vallecano	14	5	3	6	-4	18
16	La Coruna	14	3	8	3	+4	17
17	Levante	14	4	3	7	-6	15
18	Betis	14	3	6	5	-6	15
19	Granada	13	4	2	7	-7	14
20	Sp Gijon	13	3	4	6	-3	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Ath Madrid	14	10	1	3	+16	31
3	Real Madrid	13	6	5	2	+12	23
4	Celta	14	6	2	6	-12	20
5	Betis	14	5	4	5	-4	19
6	Villarreal	13	4	6	3	+0	18
7	Ath Bilbao	14	5	2	7	-7	17
8	La Coruna	14	3	7	4	-6	16
9	Valencia	14	4	3	7	-2	15
10	Sociedad	14	4	3	7	-5	15
11	Malaga	15	3	5	7	-7	14
12	Eibar	13	3	3	7	-4	12
13	Granada	15	3	3	9	-17	12
14	Sp Gijon	14	3	2	9	-15	11
15	Sevilla	14	0	9	5	-7	9
16	Las Palmas	14	2	3	9	-14	9
17	Espanol	14	3	0	11	-18	9
18	Vallecano	13	1	5	7	-17	8
19	Levante	13	1	2	10	-20	5
20	Getafe	13	1	2	10	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.