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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Barcelona

S S U T T

1–2

Full-time

Valencia

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 52%

75%

28%

Points per game

2,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

78%

47%

Both score Ø 55%

56%

53%

Average goals

3,6

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

69% Possession 31%

22 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

7 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Valencia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	24	4	4	+60	76
2	Ath Madrid	33	24	4	5	+41	76
3	Real Madrid	33	23	6	4	+68	75
4	Villarreal	33	17	9	7	+14	60
5	Ath Bilbao	33	16	6	11	+11	54
6	Celta	33	15	8	10	-7	53
7	Sevilla	33	13	10	10	+6	49
8	Malaga	33	10	11	12	+0	41
9	Sociedad	33	11	8	14	-3	41
10	Eibar	33	11	8	14	-4	41
11	Las Palmas	33	11	7	15	-7	40
12	La Coruna	33	7	17	9	-6	38
13	Betis	33	9	11	13	-16	38
14	Valencia	32	9	10	13	-3	37
15	Espanol	33	10	6	17	-28	36
16	Vallecano	33	8	10	15	-20	34
17	Granada	33	7	9	17	-27	30
18	Sp Gijon	33	7	8	18	-21	29
19	Levante	33	7	7	19	-26	28
20	Getafe	33	7	7	19	-32	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	14	1	2	+50	43
2	Barcelona	16	14	1	1	+43	43
3	Sevilla	17	13	1	3	+18	40
4	Ath Madrid	16	12	3	1	+22	39
5	Villarreal	17	12	3	2	+16	39
6	Ath Bilbao	16	9	4	3	+16	31
7	Eibar	17	8	3	6	+4	27
8	Celta	17	7	6	4	+2	27
9	Las Palmas	17	7	4	6	+4	25
10	Vallecano	17	7	4	6	-1	25
11	Espanol	16	7	4	5	-9	25
12	Malaga	16	6	5	5	+6	23
13	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+3	23
14	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	+3	23
15	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+1	22
16	Levante	17	6	4	7	-4	22
17	La Coruna	16	4	8	4	+3	20
18	Betis	16	4	6	6	-6	18
19	Granada	16	4	5	7	-7	17
20	Sp Gijon	16	4	4	8	-5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	12	1	4	+19	37
2	Barcelona	16	10	3	3	+17	33
3	Real Madrid	16	9	5	2	+18	32
4	Celta	16	8	2	6	-9	26
5	Ath Bilbao	17	7	2	8	-5	23
6	Villarreal	16	5	6	5	-2	21
7	Betis	17	5	5	7	-10	20
8	Sociedad	17	5	3	9	-6	18
9	Malaga	17	4	6	7	-6	18
10	La Coruna	17	3	9	5	-9	18
11	Valencia	16	4	3	9	-4	15
12	Las Palmas	16	4	3	9	-11	15
13	Eibar	16	3	5	8	-8	14
14	Sp Gijon	17	3	4	10	-16	13
15	Granada	17	3	4	10	-20	13
16	Espanol	17	3	2	12	-19	11
17	Sevilla	16	0	9	7	-12	9
18	Vallecano	16	1	6	9	-19	9
19	Levante	16	1	3	12	-22	6
20	Getafe	16	1	2	13	-35	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.