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Primeira Liga
Referee: Cosme Cunha Machado
Moreirense
U T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Maritimo
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
58%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Moreirense 13. · Maritimo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 33 28 1 4 +63 85
2 Sp Lisbon 33 26 5 2 +54 83
3 Porto 34 23 4 7 +37 73
4 Sp Braga 33 16 10 7 +23 58
5 Arouca 34 13 15 6 +9 54
6 Rio Ave 34 14 8 12 +0 50
7 Pacos Ferreira 34 13 10 11 +1 49
8 Estoril 34 13 8 13 -1 47
9 Belenenses 34 10 11 13 -22 41
10 Guimaraes 34 9 13 12 -8 40
11 Nacional 33 10 8 15 -13 38
12 Maritimo 33 10 5 18 -17 35
13 Moreirense 33 8 9 16 -17 33
14 Boavista 34 8 9 17 -17 33
15 Tondela 34 8 6 20 -20 30
16 Vitoria Setubal 34 6 12 16 -21 30
17 U. Madeira 34 7 8 19 -23 29
18 Academica 34 5 10 19 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jan -16 Maritimo – Moreirense 5–1

Match report

Moreirense Maritimo
1–0 Rafael Martins
20′
Filipe Gonçalves 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Diawara
↦ Dyego Sousa
Alan Schons 🟨
51′
2–0 Rafael Martins
56′
60′
🔁 G. Ghazaryan
↦ G. Nepomuceno
60′
🔁 Fábio Abreu
↦ Alex Soares
E. Boateng 🔁
↦ Ença Fati
64′
E. Ohemeng 🔁
↦ Rafael Martins
68′
João Palhinha 🔁
↦ Patrick
74′
76′
🟨 Romario
João Palhinha 🟨
90′
90′
B. Diawara 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Moreirense

92 Victor Hugo G
6 Evaldo
26 Marcelo Oliveira D
13 João Sousa D
66 Filipe Gonçalves M
10 Fábio Espinho M
12 Pedro Coronas D
27 Patrick
7 Alan Schons M
99 Rafael Martins F
17 Ença Fati M
Bench (7)
29 E. Boateng
11 E. Ohemeng
60 João Palhinha
51 I. Stefanović
30 Rafa Sousa
3 André Micael
14 C. Gomina

Maritimo

80 A. Haghighi G
21 Briguel D
26 Romário
15 L. Touré
23 D. Plessis M
11 Éber M
7 Alex Soares M
45 Fábio China D
60 D. Djoussé F
9 Dyego Sousa F
17 G. Nepomuceno F
Bench (6)
90 B. Diawara
10 G. Ghazaryan
37 Fábio Abreu
99 Lynneeker
8 Pana
78 R. Salin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Cosme Cunha Machado · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
8,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.