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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Tromso
S T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
29%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 7. · Lillestrom 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 8 6 1 1 +14 19
2 Molde 8 5 2 1 +11 17
3 Kristiansund 7 5 0 2 +2 15
4 Rosenborg 8 4 2 2 +7 14
5 Valerenga 8 3 3 2 +2 12
6 Viking 8 4 0 4 -3 12
7 Tromso 7 2 2 3 -3 8
8 Stromsgodset 7 2 2 3 -6 8
9 Mjondalen 6 1 3 2 +0 6
10 Odd 6 1 3 2 -2 6
11 Sarpsborg 08 6 1 3 2 -2 6
12 Sandefjord 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Lillestrom 5 2 0 3 -3 6
14 Haugesund 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Stabaek 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Brann 8 1 1 6 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Lillestrom
2′
T. Olsen 0–1
I. Ogbu
25′
🟨 Lars Ranger
1–1 A. Mikkelsen
26′
Half-time 1–1
D. Berntsen 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
46′
52′
T. Olsen 1–2
I. Mathew
65′
🔁 P. Helland
↦ G. Åsen
65′
🔁 D. Gustafsson
↦ U. Mathisen
J. Rothmann 🔁
↦ A. Arnarson
67′
81′
🔁 F. Krogstad
↦ K. Kairinen
M. Andersen 🔁
↦ F. Winther
85′
93′
🔁 J. Braut-Brunes
↦ T. Olsen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
2 A. Arnarson M
5 A. Jenssen D
16 T. Totland M
6 I. Amundsen D
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen D
21 E. Kitolano M
14 A. Mikkelsen F
7 F. Winther M
18 M. Ebiye F
Bench (7)
17 D. Berntsen
29 J. Rothmann
15 M. Andersen
20 C. Øyvann
3 J. Robertsen
26 I. Vik
12 S. Thomas

Coach: G. Helstrup

Lillestrom

3-5-2
12 M. Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
22 P. Slørdahl D
23 G. Åsen F
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
18 U. Mathisen M
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
7 P. Helland
90 D. Gustafsson
14 F. Krogstad
17 J. Braut-Brunes
9 K. Eriksen
11 T. Svendsen
25 E. Edh
40 J. Sveinhaug
15 J. Baccay

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.