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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Tromso
T S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Corners 3
0 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 14. · Lillestrom 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 12 2 3 +14 38
2 Molde 17 11 3 3 +23 36
3 Odd 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Brann 17 8 5 4 +6 29
5 Rosenborg 18 8 5 5 +5 29
6 Valerenga 17 7 5 5 +9 26
7 Kristiansund 18 6 5 7 -1 23
8 Viking 17 6 4 7 -5 22
9 Haugesund 17 5 6 6 +5 21
10 Lillestrom 17 6 3 8 -6 21
11 Stabaek 18 5 5 8 -5 20
12 Ranheim 17 5 3 9 -11 18
13 Mjondalen 17 3 8 6 -5 17
14 Tromso 17 5 2 10 -16 17
15 Sarpsborg 08 17 2 8 7 -6 14
16 Stromsgodset 17 3 4 10 -13 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Lillestrom
Simen Wangberg 🟨
10′
11′
Arnor Smarason 0–1
23′
🟨 Fredrik Krogstad
Artem Sokol 🔁
↦ Lasse Nilsen
38′
Half-time 0–1
59′
🟨 Tobias Salquist
Brayan Rojas 🔁
↦ Daniel Berntsen
66′
Robert Taylor 🟨
74′
Magnus Andersen 🔁
↦ Aidan Barlow
76′
1–1 Simen Wangberg
Morten Gamst Pedersen
78′
79′
🟨 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
84′
🔁 Moses Ebiye
↦ Thomas Lehne Olsen
86′
🔁 Sheriff Sinyan
↦ Arnor Smarason
90′
🔁 Mats Haakenstad
↦ Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tromso

4-4-2
1 Gudmund Kongshavn G
6 Juha Pirinen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
25 Lasse Nilsen D
17 Daniel Berntsen M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
11 Robert Taylor M
20 Aidan Barlow F
77 Fitim Azemi F
Bench (7)
28 Jakob Karlstrom
32 Runar Johansen
2 Artem Sokol
26 Jostein Gundersen
15 Magnus Andersen
9 Brayan Rojas
42 Mushaga Bakenga

Coach: S. Valakari

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Maric G
5 Simen Rafn D
6 Joonas Tamm D
4 Tobias Salquist D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
88 Arnor Smarason F
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (6)
40 Mads Christiansen
2 Mats Haakenstad
13 Frode Kippe
19 Sheriff Sinyan
15 Erik Brenden
18 Moses Ebiye

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.