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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Ath Madrid

U S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Sociedad

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 56%

59%

52%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

45%

48%

Both score Ø 40%

34%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

20 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Sociedad 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	28	21	5	2	+46	68
2	Barcelona	29	20	6	3	+59	66
3	Ath Madrid	29	17	7	5	+31	58
4	Sevilla	29	17	7	5	+18	58
5	Ath Bilbao	30	15	5	10	+6	50
6	Sociedad	29	15	4	10	+3	49
7	Villarreal	29	13	9	7	+18	48
8	Eibar	29	12	8	9	+6	44
9	Espanol	30	11	10	9	+0	43
10	Celta	28	12	5	11	-3	41
11	Alaves	29	10	10	9	-7	40
12	Las Palmas	29	9	8	12	-3	35
13	Valencia	29	9	6	14	-10	33
14	Betis	29	8	7	14	-14	31
15	Malaga	29	6	9	14	-14	27
16	La Coruna	29	6	9	14	-15	27
17	Leganes	29	6	9	14	-19	27
18	Sp Gijon	29	5	7	17	-26	22
19	Granada	29	4	7	18	-36	19
20	Osasuna	29	1	8	20	-40	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	12	3	0	+25	39
2	Ath Bilbao	16	11	3	2	+13	36
3	Barcelona	14	10	3	1	+32	33
4	Sevilla	14	10	3	1	+13	33
5	Ath Madrid	14	10	2	2	+20	32
6	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Celta	14	9	1	4	+7	28
8	Villarreal	15	8	3	4	+12	27
9	Eibar	15	8	3	4	+6	27
10	Espanol	15	7	5	3	+8	26
11	Sociedad	15	7	4	4	+2	25
12	Betis	15	5	6	4	+0	21
13	Valencia	14	6	3	5	-1	21
14	Malaga	14	6	2	6	+0	20
15	La Coruna	14	5	4	5	+4	19
16	Alaves	14	4	7	3	-5	19
17	Granada	14	4	4	6	-3	16
18	Leganes	14	3	5	6	-5	14
19	Sp Gijon	14	4	2	8	-11	14
20	Osasuna	15	0	5	10	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	10	3	2	+27	33
2	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+21	29
3	Ath Madrid	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+5	25
5	Sociedad	14	8	0	6	+1	24
6	Villarreal	14	5	6	3	+6	21
7	Alaves	15	6	3	6	-2	21
8	Eibar	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Espanol	15	4	5	6	-8	17
10	Ath Bilbao	14	4	2	8	-7	14
11	Celta	14	3	4	7	-10	13
12	Leganes	15	3	4	8	-14	13
13	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-9	12
14	Betis	14	3	1	10	-14	10
15	Sp Gijon	15	1	5	9	-15	8
16	La Coruna	15	1	5	9	-19	8
17	Malaga	15	0	7	8	-14	7
18	Las Palmas	14	1	3	10	-16	6
19	Osasuna	14	1	3	10	-22	6
20	Granada	15	0	3	12	-33	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.