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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Werder Bremen
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
73%
38%
Both score Ø 64%
77%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 12. · Schalke 04 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 26 20 5 1 +54 65
2 RB Leipzig 26 16 4 6 +19 52
3 Hoffenheim 26 12 12 2 +23 48
4 Dortmund 26 13 8 5 +27 47
5 Hertha 26 12 4 10 +2 40
6 FC Koln 26 9 10 7 +7 37
7 Ein Frankfurt 26 10 7 9 -1 37
8 Freiburg 26 10 5 11 -13 35
9 Schalke 04 26 9 7 10 +5 34
10 M'gladbach 26 9 6 11 -4 33
11 Leverkusen 26 9 5 12 -3 32
12 Werder Bremen 26 9 5 12 -7 32
13 Wolfsburg 26 8 6 12 -11 30
14 Hamburg 26 8 6 12 -21 30
15 Mainz 26 8 5 13 -9 29
16 Augsburg 26 7 8 11 -16 29
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 26 6 4 16 -18 22
18 Darmstadt 26 4 3 19 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Schalke 04
1–0 T. Gebre Selassie
Z. Junuzović
24′
Half-time 1–0
M. Eggestein 🔁
↦ T. Delaney
46′
F. Bartels 🔁
↦ C. Pizarro
60′
62′
🔁 Y. Konoplyanka
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
62′
🔁 K. Huntelaar
↦ M. Meyer
73′
🟨 Leon Goretzka
2–0 M. Kruse
76′
80′
🟨 Ralf Fährmann
3–0 M. Eggestein
M. Kruse
80′
86′
🔁 F. Di Santo
↦ G. Burgstaller
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
42 F. Wiedwald G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
3 L. Caldirola D
2 S. García D
16 Z. Junuzović M
6 T. Delaney M
27 F. Grillitsch M
13 M. Veljkovic D
14 C. Pizarro F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
35 M. Eggestein
22 F. Bartels
7 F. Kainz
9 A. Jóhannsson
20 U. Garcia
33 J. Drobný
47 O. Manneh

Coach: A. Nouri

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
31 M. Nastasić D
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
17 B. Stambouli D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
21 A. Schöpf M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Konoplyanka
25 K. Huntelaar
9 F. Di Santo
5 J. Geis
23 Coke
24 H. Badstuber
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.