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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Sociedad
S T S U S
0–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 52%
58%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 5. · Ath Bilbao 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 18 6 2 +55 60
2 Real Madrid 25 18 5 2 +41 59
3 Sevilla 27 17 6 4 +20 57
4 Ath Madrid 27 15 7 5 +27 52
5 Sociedad 26 15 3 8 +6 48
6 Villarreal 26 12 9 5 +19 45
7 Ath Bilbao 26 12 5 9 +2 41
8 Eibar 26 11 6 9 +5 39
9 Espanol 27 10 9 8 +1 39
10 Alaves 27 9 10 8 -5 37
11 Celta 25 10 5 10 -5 35
12 Las Palmas 27 8 8 11 -2 32
13 Valencia 27 8 6 13 -11 30
14 Betis 26 7 7 12 -14 28
15 Malaga 27 6 8 13 -12 26
16 Leganes 27 6 7 14 -19 25
17 La Coruna 26 5 9 12 -12 24
18 Granada 27 4 7 16 -31 19
19 Sp Gijon 27 4 6 17 -28 18
20 Osasuna 26 1 7 18 -37 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Asier Illarramendi 🟨
26′
28′
Raúl García 0–1
39′
🟨 Iker Muniain
Half-time 0–1
Iñigo Martínez 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Aymeric Laporte
56′
Iñaki Williams 0–2
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Juanmi
57′
60′
🔁 Aduriz
↦ Muniain
68′
🟨 Mikel San José
73′
🟨 Beñat Etxebarria
Canales 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
74′
74′
🔁 Iturraspe
↦ Beñat
Yuri Berchiche 🟨
77′
79′
🟨 Kepa Arrizabalaga
Granero 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
86′
88′
🔁 De Marcos
↦ Iñaki Williams
90′
🟨 Mikel Balenziaga
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
19 Yuri D
22 Raúl Navas D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
11 C. Vela F
7 Juanmi F
29 Álvaro Odriozola D
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
26 Jon Bautista
16 Canales
8 Granero
5 Bergara
15 Aritz Elustondo
25 Toño
32 K. Rodrigues

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
26 Kepa G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
2 Bóveda D
4 A. Laporte D
27 Yeray Álvarez D
15 Lekue D
22 Raúl García M
7 Beñat M
10 Muniain F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
20 Aduriz
8 Iturraspe
18 De Marcos
1 Iraizoz
14 Susaeta
17 Mikel Rico
25 Saborit

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.