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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Las Palmas
S T S T T
4–1
Full-time
Betis
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 29%
30%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 7
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 13. · Betis 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 30 22 6 2 +48 72
2 Barcelona 31 21 6 4 +60 69
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 8 5 +32 62
4 Sevilla 31 18 7 6 +17 61
5 Villarreal 31 15 9 7 +21 54
6 Eibar 31 14 8 9 +10 50
7 Ath Bilbao 31 15 5 11 +4 50
8 Sociedad 30 15 4 11 +2 49
9 Espanol 31 12 10 9 +1 46
10 Celta 30 12 5 13 -6 41
11 Alaves 31 10 10 11 -9 40
12 Valencia 31 11 6 14 -7 39
13 Las Palmas 30 9 8 13 -5 35
14 Malaga 31 8 9 14 -11 33
15 Betis 30 8 7 15 -15 31
16 La Coruna 31 6 10 15 -17 28
17 Leganes 31 6 9 16 -22 27
18 Sp Gijon 30 5 7 18 -27 22
19 Granada 31 4 8 19 -38 20
20 Osasuna 31 3 8 20 -38 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Betis
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
29′
Mauricio Lemos 🟨
30′
Vicente Gómez 🟨
38′
1–0 Vicente Gómez
K. Boateng
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Boateng
Jesé
49′
54′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ Petros
58′
🟨 Alin Toșca
62′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ Rubén Pardo
3–0 Jonathan Viera
62′
65′
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
M. García 🔁
↦ Jonathan Viera
68′
70′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ Álex Alegría
74′
🟨 Germán Pezzella
David García 🔁
↦ Bigas
75′
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
77′
4–0 Jesé
83′
88′
Rafa Navarro 4–1
90′
🟨 Rafa Navarro
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
1 Raúl Lizoáin G
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
3 M. Lemos D
7 K. Boateng M
21 Jonathan Viera M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 Jesé F
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
19 M. García
5 David García
9 M. Livaja
6 Montoro
13 Javi Varas
16 Aythami Artiles
20 A. Halilović

Coach: Quique Setién

Betis

5-3-2
13 Adán G
23 A. Mandi D
21 A. Toșca D
3 Álex Martínez D
20 G. Pezzella D
2 Rafa Navarro D
5 Petros M
7 Rubén Pardo M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
19 Álex Alegría F
Bench (7)
17 Joaquín
8 J. Martin
9 A. Sanabria
1 Dani Giménez
4 Bruno González
14 R. Durmisi
16 Cejudo

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.