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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Valencia
T T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
25 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jan -17 Las Palmas – Valencia 3–1 22. Aug -16 Valencia – Las Palmas 2–4 2. Apr -16 Las Palmas – Valencia 2–1 21. Nov -15 Valencia – Las Palmas 1–1

Match report

Valencia Las Palmas
Simone Zaza 🟨
9′
1–0 S. Zaza ⚽
Carlos Soler
22′
33′
🟥 Alen Halilović
Dani Parejo 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
67′
🟨 Pedro Bigas
José Luis Gayà 🟨
71′
Nacho Gil 🔁
↦ Álvaro Medrán
73′
78′
🔁 S. Araújo
↦ Tana
78′
🔁 Javi Castellano
↦ M. Lemos
Santi Mina 🔁
↦ Rodrigo
79′
80′
🟨 David Simón
85′
🔁 Míchel
↦ David Simón
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
7 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
30 Nacho Vidal D
10 Dani Parejo M
8 Álvaro Medrán M
18 Carlos Soler M
9 S. Zaza F
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (7)
31 Nacho Gil
22 Santi Mina
6 N. Maksimović
1 Jaume Doménech
15 F. Orellana
26 Toni Lato
29 Javi Jiménez

Coach: Marcelino

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
13 L. Chichizola G
23 Dani Castellano D
22 Ximo Navarro D
17 Bigas D
2 David Simón D
3 M. Lemos D
21 Jonathan Viera M
20 Vitolo M
8 A. Halilović M
24 Tana M
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
10 S. Araújo
18 Javi Castellano
12 Míchel
1 Raúl Lizoáin
11 Momo
16 Aythami Artiles
27 Fabio González

Coach: Manolo Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.