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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Roda
S T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Vitesse
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 9
0 Offside 6
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 15. · Vitesse 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 VVV Venlo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Vitesse
40′
T. Matavž 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Mohamed El Makrini 🟨
51′
54′
🟨 Thomas Bruns
0–2 R. Pasveer
own goal
64′
D. Schahin 🔁
↦ J. Vancamp
68′
69′
T. Bruns 0–3
71′
🔁 L. Castaignos
↦ T. Matavž
75′
🔁 C. Colkett
↦ M. Rashica
78′
🟨 Bryan Linssen
80′
G. Kashia 0–4
A. Büttner
G. van Velzen 🔁
↦ M. Paulissen
81′
83′
🔁 M. Miazga
↦ T. Bruns
W. Ndenge 🔁
↦ M. El Makrini
84′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Roda

4-3-3
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
20 D. Werker D
3 F. Ananou D
6 M. El Makrini M
15 O. Gnjatić M
19 M. Paulissen M
10 Simon Gustafson M
7 M. Rosheuvel M
18 J. Vancamp F
Bench (10)
9 D. Schahin
11 G. van Velzen
13 W. Ndenge
14 M. Engels
23 N. Rutjes
21 C. Djim
8 A. Auassar
30 T. Roex
16 F. Kurto
2 H. Dijkhuizen

Coach: R. Molenaar

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
28 A. Büttner D
37 G. Kashia D
2 F. Dabo D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
10 T. Bruns M
7 M. Rashica F
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
Bench (11)
14 L. Castaignos
8 C. Colkett
5 M. Miazga
19 M. Mount
3 M. van der Werff
23 M. Ali
43 L. Faye
40 B. Bayazit
29 J. Lelieveld
24 J. Houwen
16 M. van Bergen

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.