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Championship

Referee: Tony Harrington

Burton Albion

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Birmingham

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burton Albion Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burton Albion 24. · Birmingham 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Wolves	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Ipswich	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Middlesbrough	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Nott'm Forest	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sunderland	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Leeds	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Hull	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Preston	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Reading	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Derby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Fulham	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Barnsley	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Sheffield United	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Bolton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Sheffield Weds	3	0	2	1	-1	2
21	Brentford	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Millwall	3	0	1	2	-2	1
23	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-4	1
24	Burton Albion	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Reading	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hull	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Derby	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ipswich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sunderland	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Bolton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Preston	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	QPR	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Burton Albion	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.