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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas

Girona

S S S U U

2–3

Full-time

Alaves

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 23%

31%

15%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

62%

38%

Both score Ø 47%

62%

31%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 12. · Alaves 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	11	3	0	+29	36
2	Valencia	14	9	4	1	+20	31
3	Ath Madrid	14	8	6	0	+16	30
4	Real Madrid	14	8	4	2	+14	28
5	Sevilla	14	9	1	4	+5	28
6	Villarreal	14	6	3	5	+4	21
7	Leganes	14	6	2	6	-1	20
8	Getafe	14	5	4	5	+5	19
9	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+2	19
10	Celta	14	5	3	6	+5	18
11	Betis	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Girona	13	4	5	4	-3	17
13	Eibar	14	5	2	7	-11	17
14	Levante	14	3	7	4	-6	16
15	Espanol	14	4	4	6	-7	16
16	Ath Bilbao	14	3	5	6	-4	14
17	La Coruna	14	3	3	8	-10	12
18	Las Palmas	14	3	1	10	-21	10
19	Malaga	14	2	2	10	-17	8
20	Alaves	13	2	0	11	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Valencia	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Betis	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+10	13
7	Espanol	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Getafe	7	4	0	3	+6	12
9	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
10	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Celta	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	Sociedad	7	2	3	2	+2	9
14	Ath Bilbao	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	Levante	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Malaga	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	La Coruna	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-11	6
20	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Barcelona	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Valencia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Girona	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-1	9
8	Sevilla	7	3	0	4	-5	9
9	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-6	8
10	Celta	7	2	1	4	+3	7
11	Getafe	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Levante	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	Eibar	7	2	0	5	-14	6
14	Ath Bilbao	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	La Coruna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Betis	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Las Palmas	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-6	3
19	Espanol	7	0	3	4	-10	3
20	Malaga	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.