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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Alaves

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Espanol

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 20%

10%

30%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

30%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

0,4

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

17 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

29 Free kicks against 9

7 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Alaves 20. · Espanol 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Valencia	11	8	3	0	+19	27
3	Ath Madrid	11	6	5	0	+10	23
4	Real Madrid	10	6	2	2	+10	20
5	Sevilla	10	6	1	3	+2	19
6	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Betis	11	5	2	4	+1	17
8	Leganes	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Sociedad	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Getafe	11	3	4	4	+2	13
11	Espanol	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Levante	10	2	6	2	-2	12
13	Girona	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Celta	10	3	2	5	+3	11
15	Ath Bilbao	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
17	Eibar	10	2	2	6	-17	8
18	Las Palmas	10	2	0	8	-17	6
19	Malaga	10	1	1	8	-15	4
20	Alaves	10	1	0	9	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	15
3	Sevilla	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Betis	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
6	Espanol	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Getafe	5	2	0	3	+2	6
14	La Coruna	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-4	5
18	Malaga	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-10	3
20	Alaves	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Getafe	6	1	4	1	+0	7
8	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-4	7
9	Celta	5	2	0	3	+4	6
10	Sevilla	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Girona	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Ath Bilbao	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Levante	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-7	3
19	Eibar	5	1	0	4	-13	3
20	Malaga	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.