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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Alaves

T T S T T

1–2

Full-time

Valencia

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

5,0

Scored

0,5

3,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,3

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

11%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

22%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

11%

56%

Average goals

1,9

3,9

Scored

0,3

2,8

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 19. · Valencia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Valencia	9	6	3	0	+15	21
3	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Ath Madrid	9	5	4	0	+9	19
5	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Villarreal	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
8	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+1	16
9	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Celta	9	3	2	4	+4	11
11	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Levante	9	2	5	2	-2	11
13	Espanol	9	2	4	3	-4	10
14	Getafe	9	2	3	4	+1	9
15	Girona	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	La Coruna	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Eibar	9	2	1	6	-17	7
18	Las Palmas	9	2	0	7	-15	6
19	Alaves	9	1	0	8	-11	3
20	Malaga	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	15
2	Valencia	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
5	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	La Coruna	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Getafe	4	1	0	3	+1	3
18	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Valencia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Celta	4	2	0	2	+5	6
8	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Sevilla	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Girona	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Ath Bilbao	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-7	3
17	Eibar	5	1	0	4	-13	3
18	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Levante	3	0	2	1	-4	2
20	Malaga	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.