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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Girona

U T U T S

2–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

22%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

15 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

21 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 15. · Real Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Valencia	10	7	3	0	+16	24
3	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Ath Madrid	10	5	5	0	+9	20
5	Sevilla	10	6	1	3	+2	19
6	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Leganes	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
9	Sociedad	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Getafe	10	3	3	4	+2	12
11	Celta	9	3	2	4	+4	11
12	Ath Bilbao	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Levante	9	2	5	2	-2	11
14	Espanol	9	2	4	3	-4	10
15	Girona	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	La Coruna	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Eibar	9	2	1	6	-17	7
18	Las Palmas	9	2	0	7	-15	6
19	Alaves	10	1	0	9	-12	3
20	Malaga	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	15
2	Valencia	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Sevilla	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
6	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Getafe	5	2	0	3	+2	6
13	La Coruna	5	2	0	3	-4	6
14	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-4	4
18	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Alaves	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+6	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Leganes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-4	7
8	Celta	4	2	0	2	+5	6
9	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Sevilla	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Girona	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Ath Bilbao	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-7	3
17	Eibar	5	1	0	4	-13	3
18	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Levante	3	0	2	1	-4	2
20	Malaga	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.