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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Getafe
T T U S U
4–1
Full-time
Alaves
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
18%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
64%
27%
Both score Ø 46%
73%
18%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,4
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 12. · Alaves 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 11 10 1 0 +26 31
2 Valencia 11 8 3 0 +19 27
3 Real Madrid 11 7 2 2 +13 23
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 5 0 +10 23
5 Villarreal 11 6 2 3 +7 20
6 Sevilla 11 6 1 4 +1 19
7 Sociedad 12 5 3 4 +3 18
8 Betis 11 5 2 4 +1 17
9 Leganes 11 5 2 4 +1 17
10 Girona 12 4 4 4 -3 16
11 Celta 11 4 2 5 +5 14
12 Getafe 11 3 4 4 +2 13
13 Espanol 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Levante 11 2 6 3 -3 12
15 Ath Bilbao 11 3 2 6 -4 11
16 La Coruna 11 3 2 6 -7 11
17 Eibar 11 2 2 7 -19 8
18 Alaves 11 2 0 9 -11 6
19 Las Palmas 11 2 0 9 -20 6
20 Malaga 11 1 1 9 -17 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Alaves
1–0 Bergara
6′
9′
🟨 Adrián Diéguez
2–0 Jorge Molina
9′
Djené 🟨
18′
Vitorino Antunes 🟨
32′
41′
🟨 Alexis Ruano
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Burgui
↦ Adrián Diéguez
46′
🔁 M. Wakaso
↦ Tomás Pina
3–0 Ángel
Portillo
53′
Sergio Mora 🔁
↦ Bergara
60′
63′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
4–0 Ángel
Jorge Molina
64′
F. Fajr 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
65′
75′
🔁 Ibai Gómez
↦ Carlos Vigaray
Álvaro Jiménez 🔁
↦ Ángel
78′
81′
C. Santos 4–1
Ibai Gómez
Álvaro Jiménez 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 Guaita G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
16 Juan Cala D
2 D. Dakonam D
5 Bergara M
12 Portillo M
18 M. Arambarri M
9 Ángel
19 Jorge Molina F
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
14 Sergio Mora
21 F. Fajr
7 Álvaro Jiménez
1 E. Martínez
6 N. Gorosito
15 Molinero
24 J. Montero

Coach: José Bordalás

Alaves

5-3-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
4 Alexis D
12 Rodrigo Ely D
2 Carlos Vigaray D
26 Adrián Diéguez D
19 Manu García M
18 Tomás Pina M
23 Álvaro Medrán M
17 Alfonso Pedraza M
9 C. Santos F
24 Munir F
Bench (7)
14 Burgui
22 M. Wakaso
11 Ibai Gómez
6 G. Maripán
13 Antonio Sivera
15 Bojan
16 D. Torres

Coach: G. De Biasi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.