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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Malaga
T U S T T
0–1
Full-time
Espanol
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
18%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
35%
29%
Both score Ø 32%
29%
35%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 19. · Espanol 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 15 3 0 +41 48
2 Ath Madrid 18 11 6 1 +19 39
3 Valencia 18 11 4 3 +20 37
4 Real Madrid 17 9 5 3 +16 32
5 Sevilla 18 9 2 7 -4 29
6 Villarreal 18 8 4 6 +4 28
7 Eibar 18 8 3 7 -6 27
8 Ath Bilbao 18 6 6 6 +1 24
9 Leganes 17 7 3 7 -1 24
10 Betis 18 7 3 8 -4 24
11 Getafe 18 6 5 7 +4 23
12 Sociedad 18 6 5 7 +1 23
13 Girona 18 6 5 7 -6 23
14 Celta 18 6 4 8 +5 22
15 Espanol 17 5 5 7 -7 20
16 Levante 18 3 9 6 -10 18
17 La Coruna 18 4 4 10 -15 16
18 Alaves 18 5 0 13 -14 15
19 Malaga 17 3 2 12 -18 11
20 Las Palmas 18 3 2 13 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Espanol
3′
🟨 David López
6′
Sergi Darder 0–1
Sergio García
Recio 🟨
7′
32′
🟨 Mario Hermoso
Half-time 0–1
Borja Bastón 🔁
↦ A. Peñaranda
59′
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ G. Castro
59′
62′
🔁 Dídac Vilá
↦ Víctor Sánchez
65′
🔁 P. Piatti
↦ Léo Baptistão
J. Añor 🔁
↦ Keko
69′
Diego Gonzalez 🟨
78′
81′
🟨 Javi Fuego
92′
🔁 Granero
↦ Sergi Darder
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Roberto Jiménez G
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
2 Miquel D
3 Diego González D
11 G. Castro M
7 M. Iturra M
20 Keko M
14 Recio M
16 A. Peñaranda F
26 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
9 Borja Bastón
17 Javi Ontiveros
10 J. Añor
6 Z. Kuzmanović
15 F. Ricca
22 P. Baysse
25 Andrés Prieto

Coach: Míchel

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Pau López G
16 Javi López D
22 Mario Hermoso D
3 Aarón Martín D
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
15 David López D
25 Sergi Darder M
9 Sergio García F
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
12 Dídac Vilá
19 P. Piatti
23 Granero
5 Naldo
13 Diego López
14 Óscar Melendo
21 Marc Roca

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.