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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Ocon Arraiz

Malaga

T T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Espanol

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

25%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

55%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

17 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 14. · Espanol 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	14	4	1	+34	46
2	Barcelona	20	12	6	2	+34	42
3	Sevilla	20	13	3	4	+15	42
4	Ath Madrid	20	10	6	4	+18	36
5	Sociedad	20	11	2	7	+3	35
6	Villarreal	20	9	7	4	+14	34
7	Ath Bilbao	20	9	5	6	+4	32
8	Celta	20	9	3	8	-2	30
9	Espanol	20	7	8	5	+1	29
10	Eibar	20	8	5	7	-1	29
11	Las Palmas	20	7	7	6	+0	28
12	Alaves	20	5	9	6	-3	24
13	Betis	20	6	5	9	-10	23
14	Malaga	20	5	7	8	-6	22
15	Valencia	19	5	4	10	-7	19
16	La Coruna	20	4	7	9	-7	19
17	Leganes	20	4	6	10	-18	18
18	Sp Gijon	20	3	4	13	-19	13
19	Osasuna	20	1	7	12	-22	10
20	Granada	20	1	7	12	-28	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	9	2	0	+19	29
2	Sevilla	9	8	0	1	+10	24
3	Ath Bilbao	11	7	3	1	+8	24
4	Villarreal	11	7	2	2	+12	23
5	Las Palmas	11	6	5	0	+11	23
6	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
7	Ath Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
8	Sociedad	10	6	2	2	+4	20
9	Eibar	11	6	2	3	+2	20
10	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+16	18
11	Espanol	11	4	5	2	+4	17
12	Malaga	9	5	2	2	+4	17
13	Betis	11	4	5	2	+0	17
14	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
15	Alaves	10	2	6	2	-1	12
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-7	10
17	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Osasuna	11	0	4	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+18	24
2	Sevilla	11	5	3	3	+5	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	Ath Madrid	11	4	4	3	+5	16
5	Sociedad	10	5	0	5	-1	15
6	Alaves	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Espanol	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Villarreal	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Valencia	11	3	2	6	-3	11
10	Leganes	10	3	2	5	-10	11
11	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Celta	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-4	8
14	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-10	6
15	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Malaga	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
18	La Coruna	11	0	5	6	-12	5
19	Sp Gijon	11	0	3	8	-12	3
20	Granada	11	0	3	8	-24	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.