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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Haugesund
S S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Valerenga
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 10/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
40%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 53%
20%
85%
Average goals
2,1
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Haugesund 9. · Valerenga 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 13 9 2 2 +21 29
2 Bodo/Glimt 14 7 4 3 +14 25
3 Valerenga 13 5 6 2 +7 21
4 Kristiansund 12 6 2 4 -1 20
5 Rosenborg 13 5 4 4 +5 19
6 Odd 12 5 4 3 +0 19
7 Viking 13 5 3 5 -3 18
8 Lillestrom 10 5 2 3 +1 17
9 Haugesund 10 4 3 3 +3 15
10 Sandefjord 10 5 0 5 -2 15
11 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -5 13
12 Sarpsborg 08 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Mjondalen 10 2 4 4 +1 10
14 Tromso 12 2 4 6 -10 10
15 Stabaek 10 1 3 6 -11 6
16 Brann 13 1 3 9 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haugesund Valerenga
31′
🟨 Henrik Bjørdal
Half-time 0–1
52′
A. Dønnum 0–1
1–1 K. Krygård
54′
2–1 I. Wadji
57′
59′
🟨 Sam Adekugbe
3–1 I. Wadji
62′
65′
🟨 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
71′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ I. Näsberg
71′
🔁 T. Christensen
↦ A. Layouni
Bruno Leite 🔁
↦ S. Liseth
77′
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ I. Wadji
78′
M. Sande 🔁
↦ N. Sandberg
78′
78′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ A. Dønnum
Kevin Martin Krygard 🟨
85′
A. Stølås 🔁
↦ K. Velde
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Haugesund

4-2-3-1
32 F. Stople G
19 M. Desler D
5 B. Tiedemann D
15 U. Fredriksen D
23 T. Pedersen D
10 N. Sandberg M
7 P. Therkildsen M
11 K. Velde M
17 I. Wadji F
8 K. Krygård M
9 S. Liseth M
Bench (8)
16 Bruno Leite
25 A. Ndour
27 M. Sande
22 A. Stølås
18 K. Gunnarshaug
1 H. Sandvik
35 A. Endresen
4 F. Knudsen

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
7 F. Jensen M
8 H. Bjørdal M
11 A. Layouni F
14 H. Udahl F
10 A. Dønnum F
26 O. Sahraoui M
Bench (8)
15 O. Holm
17 T. Christensen
19 S. Jatta
1 K. Haug
16 M. Emilsen
3 B. Skaret
29 O. Opsahl
18 F. Holmé

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.