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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nilsen
Lillestrom
S S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Molde
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,2
This season — Eliteserien · 10/13 matches
Win Ø 60%
50%
69%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
70%
46%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,4
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 8. · Molde 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 13 9 2 2 +21 29
2 Bodo/Glimt 14 7 4 3 +14 25
3 Valerenga 13 5 6 2 +7 21
4 Kristiansund 12 6 2 4 -1 20
5 Rosenborg 13 5 4 4 +5 19
6 Odd 12 5 4 3 +0 19
7 Viking 13 5 3 5 -3 18
8 Lillestrom 10 5 2 3 +1 17
9 Haugesund 10 4 3 3 +3 15
10 Sandefjord 10 5 0 5 -2 15
11 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -5 13
12 Sarpsborg 08 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Mjondalen 10 2 4 4 +1 10
14 Tromso 12 2 4 6 -10 10
15 Stabaek 10 1 3 6 -11 6
16 Brann 13 1 3 9 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Molde
41′
E. Hussain 0–1
O. Brynhildsen
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 E. Breivik
↦ M. Grødem
58′
🔁 S. Gregersen
↦ M. Eikrem
60′
🟨 Erling Knudtzon
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
64′
71′
🟨 Andreas Linde
Igoh Ogbu 🟨
75′
84′
🔁 B. Risa
↦ E. Knudtzon
J. Braut-Brunes 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
87′
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ V. Dragsnes
87′
1–1 L. Ranger
G. Åsen
92′
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
95′
95′
🔁 D. Fofana
↦ O. Omoijuanfo
95′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ O. Brynhildsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes D
26 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
14 F. Krogstad M
8 I. Mathew M
25 E. Edh M
90 D. Gustafsson F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
11 T. Svendsen
17 J. Braut-Brunes
18 U. Mathisen
21 M. Knudsen
22 P. Slørdahl
40 J. Sveinhaug
9 K. Eriksen
31 M. Bergum
19 U. Seferi

Coach: G. Bakke

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
28 K. Haugen D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
5 S. Sinyan D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
17 F. Aursnes M
22 O. Brynhildsen M
14 E. Knudtzon D
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
15 M. Grødem M
Bench (6)
25 E. Breivik
6 S. Gregersen
3 B. Risa
20 D. Fofana
19 E. Hestad
34 O. Petersen

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.