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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Stromsgodset
U S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Stabaek
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 19%
27%
10%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
55%
60%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
25 Shots 13
11 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 11. · Stabaek 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 14 9 3 2 +21 30
2 Bodo/Glimt 14 7 4 3 +14 25
3 Kristiansund 13 7 2 4 +1 23
4 Rosenborg 14 6 4 4 +7 22
5 Valerenga 14 5 6 3 +5 21
6 Odd 12 5 4 3 +0 19
7 Haugesund 11 5 3 3 +5 18
8 Lillestrom 11 5 3 3 +1 18
9 Viking 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Sandefjord 11 5 0 6 -4 15
11 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -5 13
12 Sarpsborg 08 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Mjondalen 11 2 5 4 +1 11
14 Tromso 13 2 4 7 -12 10
15 Brann 14 1 4 9 -14 7
16 Stabaek 10 1 3 6 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Stabaek
35′
O. Edvardsen 0–1
K. Hansen
1–1 J. Hove
J. Parr
37′
Half-time 1–1
Ari Leifsson 🟨
59′
63′
🟨 Jeppe Moe
65′
🔁 S. Skytte
↦ H. Shala
65′
🔁 K. Kostadinov
↦ F. Azemi
P. Mendy 🔁
↦ J. Parr
67′
74′
🔁 M. Solheim
↦ J. Moe
M. Mawa 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
78′
M. Maigaard 🔁
↦ I. Jack
78′
2–1 F. Friday
J. Hove
80′
83′
🔁 K. Kinoshita
↦ M. Solbakken
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 V. Myhra G
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
2 A. Leifsson D
7 H. Stengel M
19 H. Stenevik M
8 J. Hove M
6 I. Jack M
17 T. Gulliksen M
9 F. Friday F
Bench (9)
22 P. Mendy
10 M. Mawa
20 M. Maigaard
5 N. Gunnarsson
23 V. Ingimundarson
40 M. Sætra
11 K. Tokstad
14 N. Mickelson
70 S. Hanssen

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Stabaek

4-3-3
12 M. Sandberg G
4 S. Wangberg D
18 J. Moe D
27 N. Jenssen D
15 S. Ottesen D
8 H. Shala M
11 K. Hansen F
10 M. Solbakken M
32 A. Nusa F
17 F. Azemi F
23 O. Edvardsen M
Bench (9)
22 S. Skytte
24 K. Kostadinov
5 M. Solheim
19 K. Kinoshita
31 O. Veum
67 T. Lumanza
14 K. Torgersen
80 H. Geelmuyden
84 J. Brauti

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.