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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Sociedad
S T S T U
2–1
Full-time
Alaves
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
73%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
65%
35%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 16. · Alaves 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 21 6 0 +57 69
2 Ath Madrid 27 18 7 2 +33 61
3 Real Madrid 27 16 6 5 +36 54
4 Valencia 26 15 5 6 +20 50
5 Sevilla 27 14 3 10 -4 45
6 Villarreal 27 12 5 10 +4 41
7 Girona 27 11 7 9 +2 40
8 Eibar 27 11 6 10 -5 39
9 Betis 26 11 4 11 -7 37
10 Getafe 27 9 9 9 +8 36
11 Celta 26 10 5 11 +5 35
12 Leganes 27 9 6 12 -9 33
13 Ath Bilbao 27 7 11 9 -4 32
14 Espanol 27 7 11 9 -9 32
15 Alaves 26 10 1 15 -14 31
16 Sociedad 26 8 6 12 +0 30
17 Levante 27 3 12 12 -20 21
18 Las Palmas 26 5 5 16 -34 20
19 La Coruna 27 4 7 16 -32 19
20 Malaga 27 3 4 20 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Alaves
1–0 H. Moreno
Canales
6′
2–0 Illarramendi
11′
39′
Alfonso Pedraza 2–1
Martín
Half-time 2–1
Zurutuza 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
46′
61′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
65′
🔁 Álvaro Medrán
↦ D. Torres
Willian José 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
68′
79′
🔁 H. Pérez
↦ Rubén Duarte
80′
🔁 Burgui
↦ Ibai Gómez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
25 Moyà G
6 H. Moreno D
24 De La Bella D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
16 Canales M
4 Illarramendi M
8 A. Januzaj M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
21 Jon Bautista F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
17 Zurutuza
12 Willian José
7 Juanmi
13 Toño
14 Rubén Pardo
15 Aritz Elustondo
20 Kévin Rodrigues

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
12 Rodrigo Ely D
3 Rubén Duarte D
32 Martín D
16 D. Torres M
18 Tomás Pina M
11 Ibai Gómez M
17 Alfonso Pedraza M
10 J. Guidetti F
7 Rubén Sobrino F
Bench (7)
23 Álvaro Medrán
21 H. Pérez
14 Burgui
6 G. Maripán
13 Antonio Sivera
19 Manu García
28 Víctor López

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.