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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Valencia
T S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Betis
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 50%
58%
42%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
46%
Average goals
3,1
3,6
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 4. · Betis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 21 6 0 +57 69
2 Ath Madrid 27 18 7 2 +33 61
3 Real Madrid 27 16 6 5 +36 54
4 Valencia 26 15 5 6 +20 50
5 Sevilla 27 14 3 10 -4 45
6 Villarreal 27 12 5 10 +4 41
7 Girona 27 11 7 9 +2 40
8 Eibar 27 11 6 10 -5 39
9 Betis 26 11 4 11 -7 37
10 Getafe 27 9 9 9 +8 36
11 Celta 26 10 5 11 +5 35
12 Sociedad 27 9 6 12 +1 33
13 Leganes 27 9 6 12 -9 33
14 Ath Bilbao 27 7 11 9 -4 32
15 Espanol 27 7 11 9 -9 32
16 Alaves 27 10 1 16 -15 31
17 Levante 27 3 12 12 -20 21
18 Las Palmas 26 5 5 16 -34 20
19 La Coruna 27 4 7 16 -32 19
20 Malaga 27 3 4 20 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Betis
1–0 Rodrigo
Gonçalo Guedes
23′
S. Zaza 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
37′
44′
🟨 Antonio Barragán
Martín Montoya 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Zaza
G. Kondogbia
47′
59′
🔁 Francis Guerrero
↦ Barragán
69′
🔁 Rubén Castro
↦ Víctor Camarasa
F. Coquelin 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
74′
79′
🟨 Joaquín
79′
🟨 Fabián Ruiz
82′
🟨 Marc Bartra
83′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Jordi Amat
Ferrán Torres 🔁
↦ Rodrigo
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
4 J. Murillo D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 Martín Montoya D
14 José Gayá D
10 Dani Parejo M
16 G. Kondogbia M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
18 Carlos Soler M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
9 S. Zaza
17 F. Coquelin
20 Ferrán Torres
1 Jaume Doménech
3 Rúben Vezo
8 L. Vietto
15 Toni Lato

Coach: Marcelino

Betis

3-4-3
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jordi Amat D
15 Bartra D
28 J. Firpo M
17 Joaquín M
3 Javi García M
8 Víctor Camarasa M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
27 Francis Guerrero
24 Rubén Castro
20 Cristian Tello
7 Sergio León
10 R. Boudebouz
14 R. Durmisi
31 Pedro López

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.